Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: Gary Wraight Memorial Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (GBB Race)
Race Distance: 2m5f164y
Racecourse: Fontwell
Time of Race: 5:15
First: Miss Goldfire
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
Form: 257222 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Ciaran O’Shea
Trainer: Harry Fry
Trainer RTF% Form: 60%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 103
TS: 100
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Lahinch Wave
Age: 7
Weight: 11-9
Form: 226 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good
Jockey: Richie McLernon
Trainer: Neil Mulholland
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 96
TS: 109
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Miss Goldfire has shown remarkable consistency in recent runs, finishing in the top three in her last six starts. Her superior OR and TS ratings make her the standout choice. Lahinch Wave has potential but lacks the same level of proven form.
Scenario Analysis: If the going softens further, Lahinch Wave’s stamina could come into play, but Miss Goldfire’s class should prevail.

Race Name: All In Or All Out Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Race Distance: 3m1f210y
Racecourse: Fontwell
Time of Race: 5:47
First: Sangiovese
Age: 6
Weight: 11-4
Form: 2-7531 (Strong recent win)
Going: Good
Jockey: Tom Cannon
Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Trainer RTF% Form: 61%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 100
TS: 105
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Uallrightharry
Age: 13
Weight: 10-10
Form: P-8P51 (Improving)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Marc Goldstein
Trainer: Karen Jewell
Trainer RTF% Form: 25%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 92
TS: 31
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Sangiovese’s recent win and high TS rating make him the clear favorite. Uallrightharry is inconsistent but has upside if the race turns into a stamina test.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Uallrightharry’s experience over longer distances could be a factor.

Race Name: Dartagnan Menswear Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m5f164y
Racecourse: Fontwell
Time of Race: 6:17
First: Sunshine Diamond
Age: 6
Weight: 12-0
Form: 7-5611 (In excellent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: Conor O’Farrell
Trainer: Neil Mulholland
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 119
TS: 100
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Marlacoo
Age: 5
Weight: 11-7
Form: 132F21 (Progressive)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Stan Sheppard
Trainer: Tom Lacey
Trainer RTF% Form: 75%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 112
TS: 82
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Sunshine Diamond’s recent wins and high OR make him the one to beat. Marlacoo is a rising talent but may need softer ground to challenge.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Marlacoo’s stamina could see him close late.

Race Name: Best Of British Events Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 3m1f166y
Racecourse: Fontwell
Time of Race: 6:47
First: Gata Ban
Age: 8
Weight: 12-0
Form: 1/8641 (Strong recent win)
Going: Good
Jockey: Harriet Tucker
Trainer: Neil Mulholland
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 97
TS: 64
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Dear Ralphy
Age: 9
Weight: 11-13
Form: -21232 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Chad Bament
Trainer: Anthony Honeyball
Trainer RTF% Form: 75%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 96
TS: 56
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Gata Ban’s recent win and higher OR give her the edge. Dear Ralphy is consistent but lacks a recent win.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Dear Ralphy’s stamina could be a factor.

Race Name: V2 Radio We Love Local Handicap Chase
Race Distance: 2m3f104y
Racecourse: Fontwell
Time of Race: 7:17
First: Ceejaybe
Age: 5
Weight: 10-4
Form: 5-9P44 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: James Davies
Trainer: Jo Davis
Trainer RTF% Form: 76%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 76
TS: 76
Probability: First Horse High

Second: King Of The Story – Tipped by RP Ratings, Racing Post. #4 Tipster
Age: 9
Weight: 10-2
Form: 4264-7 (Experienced)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Sean Houlihan
Trainer: Polly Gundry
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 74
TS: 82
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Ceejaybe’s recent improvement and low weight make her the pick. King Of The Story has experience but is inconsistent.
Scenario Analysis: If the race becomes a sprint, King Of The Story’s speed could be dangerous.

Race Name: Starsports.bet Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m3f29y
Racecourse: Fontwell
Time of Race: 7:47
First: Alright Dai
Age: 7
Weight: 11-12
Form: 36-911 (Strong recent win)
Going: Good
Jockey: Conor O’Farrell
Trainer: Neil Mulholland
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 96
TS: 85
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Decorated
Age: 7
Weight: 12-0
Form: -5PP42 (Improving)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Ben Jones
Trainer: Oliver Signy
Trainer RTF% Form: 50%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 98
TS: 93
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Alright Dai’s recent win and upward trajectory make him the choice. Decorated is improving but needs to prove consistency.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Decorated’s stamina could come into play.

Out of my analysis for Fontwell on the 25th of April 2025, this horse shows the best value for money based on Age, Weight, OR, TS, and RTF’s:

Horse: Miss Goldfire
Age: 6
Weight: 11-2
Form: 257222 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 103
TS: 100
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: Miss Goldfire has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making her a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit her, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.

In summary, Miss Goldfire presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Fontwell – 25th April 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

Gary Wraight Memorial Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle (17:15)

• Miss Goldfire (85%)
• Lahinch Wave (78%) [Flagged: <80%]

All In Or All Out Handicap Chase (17:47)

• Village Master (82%)
• Mortens Leam (75%) [Flagged: <80%]

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap Hurdle (18:17)

• Sunshine Diamond (88%)
• Casa Loupi (80%)

Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Handicap Chase (19:17)

• Tedwin Hills (84%)
• Fortunate Fella (79%) [Flagged: <80%]

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. Sunshine Diamond (18:17, Fontwell, 88%)
2. Miss Goldfire (17:15, Fontwell, 85%)
3. Tedwin Hills (19:17, Fontwell, 84%)
4. Village Master (17:47, Fontwell, 82%)

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. Sunshine Diamond (18:17, Fontwell)
2. Miss Goldfire (17:15, Fontwell)
3. Tedwin Hills (19:17, Fontwell)
4. Village Master (17:47, Fontwell)

Doubles

1. Sunshine Diamond + Miss Goldfire
2. Sunshine Diamond + Tedwin Hills
3. Sunshine Diamond + Village Master
4. Miss Goldfire + Tedwin Hills
5. Miss Goldfire + Village Master
6. Tedwin Hills + Village Master

Trebles

1. Sunshine Diamond + Miss Goldfire + Tedwin Hills
2. Sunshine Diamond + Miss Goldfire + Village Master
3. Sunshine Diamond + Tedwin Hills + Village Master
4. Miss Goldfire + Tedwin Hills + Village Master

Four-Fold Accumulator

• Sunshine Diamond + Miss Goldfire + Tedwin Hills + Village Master

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Tedwin Hills (84%) –
• Highest Probability: Sunshine Diamond (88%) –
• Alternative if Needed: Casa Loupi (80%) –