Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: Dine In The Horizons Restaurant ‘Confined’ Apprentice Handicap

Race Distance: 7f36y
Racecourse: Wolverhampton (AW)
Time of Race: 5:45
First: Zu Run
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
Form: 3-2973 (Consistent performances)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Trainer RTF% Form: 60%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 65
TS: 74
Probability: First Horse High


Second: Yeoman
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
Form: -34354 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Fred Daly
Trainer: James Fanshawe
Trainer RTF% Form: 40%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 68
TS: 73
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Zu Run has shown strong recent form and handles the Tapeta surface well. Yeoman has a higher OR but has been inconsistent. The apprentice jockey on Yeoman may struggle against the experienced Fentiman.
Scenario Analysis: If the track becomes slower, Zu Run’s stamina may give him an edge.


Race Name: Play At The Races Stableduel Novice Stakes

Race Distance: 5f21y
Racecourse: Wolverhampton (AW)
Time of Race: 6:15
First: Sudden Flight
Age: 3
Weight: 9-11
Form: 31 (Strong debut)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Ethan Jones
Trainer: Richard Hughes
Trainer RTF% Form: 55%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR:
TS: 63
Probability: First Horse Very High


Second: Carrados
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
Form: 322- (Consistent but unproven on Tapeta)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Trainer: Archie Watson
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR:
TS: 83
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Sudden Flight has a strong debut win and should improve. Carrados is consistent but may lack the speed for this shorter trip.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Sudden Flight’s early speed will be decisive.


Race Name: Download The At The Races App Maiden Fillies’ Stakes

Race Distance: 6f20y
Racecourse: Wolverhampton (AW)
Time of Race: 6:45
First: French Sand
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
Form: 22 (Close finishes)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Trainer: Archie Watson
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR:
TS: 69
Probability: First Horse High


Second: Tropical Heat
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
Form: 2- (Promising debut)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Callum Hutchinson
Trainer: Clive Cox
Trainer RTF% Form: 45%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR:
TS: 75
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: French Sand has been consistent in her two runs, while Tropical Heat has potential but lacks experience.
Scenario Analysis: A faster pace could suit French Sand’s finishing kick.


Race Name: Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

Race Distance: 6f20y
Racecourse: Wolverhampton (AW)
Time of Race: 7:15
First: Candy Warhol
Age: 6
Weight: 10-0
Form: -37101 (In form)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Dale Swift
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 57
TS: 62
Probability: First Horse High


Second: Due Date
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
Form: -75125 (Consistent)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Trainer: Charlie Wallis
Trainer RTF% Form:
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 52
TS: 58
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Candy Warhol is in excellent form and has a strong record at this distance. Due Date is consistent but may struggle with the weight.
Scenario Analysis: If the track slows, Candy Warhol’s stamina will be key.


Race Name: Sky Sports Racing Virgin 535 Handicap

Race Distance: 1m142y
Racecourse: Wolverhampton (AW)
Time of Race: 7:45
First: Threatening
Age: 3
Weight: 9-12
Form: 8-641 (Improving)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 71
TS: 47
Probability: First Horse High


Second: Unforgetable Belle
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 9651- (Potential)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Trainer: Alice Haynes
Trainer RTF% Form: 40%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 68
TS:
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Threatening is progressive and well-handicapped. Unforgetable Belle is unproven on Tapeta.
Scenario Analysis: A strong pace will suit Threatening’s stamina.


Race Name: Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap

Race Distance: 2m120y
Racecourse: Wolverhampton (AW)
Time of Race: 8:15
First: Fine Print
Age: 4
Weight: 9-3
Form: -36861 (In form)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Trainer: John C McConnell
Trainer RTF% Form: 24%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 51
TS: 56
Probability: First Horse High


Second: Tazaman
Age: 8
Weight: 9-9
Form: 5592-5 (Consistent)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Rhys Clutterbuck
Trainer: Kevin Frost
Trainer RTF% Form: 44%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 55
TS: 44
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Fine Print is improving and has a strong recent win. Tazaman is consistent but older.
Scenario Analysis: A slower pace may favor Fine Print’s stamina.


Race Name: Book Hotel And Conferencing At Wolverhampton Handicap

Race Distance: 1m1f104y
Racecourse: Wolverhampton (AW)
Time of Race: 8:45
First: Must Believe
Age: 3
Weight: 9-6
Form: 367-36 (Strong speed figures)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Charlie Bennett
Trainer: Ismail Mohammed
Trainer RTF% Form: 100%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 69
TS: 68
Probability: First Horse High


Second: Riyadh Gem
Age: 3
Weight: 9-8
Form: 8781- (Potential)
Going: Standard
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Trainer: Archie Watson
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 71
TS: 59
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Must Believe has the highest TS and is well-suited to this trip. Riyadh Gem is unproven on Tapeta.
Scenario Analysis: A strong pace will play to Must Believe’s strengths.


Best Value for Money Selection (Wolverhampton, 26th April 2025)

Horse: Must Believe
Age: 3
Weight: 9-6
Form: 367-36 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 69
TS: 68
RTF’s: Ran To Form
Form and Improvement: Must Believe has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making him a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit him, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.
In summary, Must Believe presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.


Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Wolverhampton – 26th April 2025


Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

17:45 – [Race Name Unavailable]

  • Swiss Ace (85%)
  • Touchwood (80%)

18:15 – [Race Name Unavailable]

  • Sudden Flight (82%)
  • Carrados (78%) [Flagged: <80%]

18:45 – [Race Name Unavailable]

  • Supernova Steps (80%)
  • Candy Warhol (78%) [Flagged: <80%]

19:15 – Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

  • Black Cab (84%)
  • Due Date (82%)

20:45 – [Race Name Unavailable]

  • Antiquity (83%)
  • Riyadh Gem (81%)

Note: Race names are unavailable in the provided data.


Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

  1. Swiss Ace (17:45, Wolverhampton, 85%)
  2. Sudden Flight (18:15, Wolverhampton, 82%)
  3. Black Cab (19:15, Wolverhampton, 84%)
  4. Antiquity (20:45, Wolverhampton, 83%)

All selections meet the ≥80% probability threshold.


Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

  1. Swiss Ace (17:45, Wolverhampton)
  2. Sudden Flight (18:15, Wolverhampton)
  3. Black Cab (19:15, Wolverhampton)
  4. Antiquity (20:45, Wolverhampton)

Doubles

  1. Swiss Ace + Sudden Flight
  2. Swiss Ace + Black Cab
  3. Swiss Ace + Antiquity
  4. Sudden Flight + Black Cab
  5. Sudden Flight + Antiquity
  6. Black Cab + Antiquity

Trebles

  1. Swiss Ace + Sudden Flight + Black Cab
  2. Swiss Ace + Sudden Flight + Antiquity
  3. Swiss Ace + Black Cab + Antiquity
  4. Sudden Flight + Black Cab + Antiquity

Four-Fold Accumulator

  • Swiss Ace + Sudden Flight + Black Cab + Antiquity

Key Insights

  • Best Value Pick: Black Cab (84%) –
  • Highest Probability: Swiss Ace (85%) –
  • Alternative if Needed: Due Date (82%) –

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