Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: Coral Racing Club Apprentice Handicap (Class 6)

Race Distance: 6f
Racecourse: Ayr
Time of Race: 2:00
First: Ramon Di Loria
Age: 7
Weight: 9-6
Form: 568213 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Tommie Jakes
Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Trainer RTF% Form: 31%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 57
TS: 72
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Inanna
Age: 6
Weight: 9-9
Form: 3U-803 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good
Jockey: Amie Waugh
Trainer: Jim Goldie
Trainer RTF% Form: 34%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: 66
Probability: Second Horse Moderate

Analysis: Ramon Di Loria has shown strong recent form, including a win and a close second, making him the standout pick. Inanna carries top weight but has consistency issues. The good going suits both, but Ramon Di Loria’s tactical speed gives him the edge.

Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Inanna’s stamina could come into play, but Ramon Di Loria’s recent form is too strong to ignore.

Race Name: Coral We’re Here For It Restricted Maiden Stakes (Class 5)

Race Distance: 1m
Racecourse: Ayr
Time of Race: 2:30
First: Sure And Stedfast
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
Form: 47484- (Improving with each run)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: Ewan Whillans
Trainer RTF% Form: 31%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 56
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Rosemary May
Age: 3
Weight: 8-11
Form: 94 (Shows potential)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Trainer RTF% Form: 38%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 65
Probability: Second Horse Moderate

Analysis: Sure And Stedfast has the most experience and has been racing competitively in better company. Rosemary May is unexposed but has shown flashes of ability.

Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Rosemary May’s stamina could see her close late, but Sure And Stedfast’s consistency makes him the safer pick.

Race Name: Coral ‘Pipped-At-The-Post’ And Still Win EBF Maiden Stakes (Class 5)

Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Ayr
Time of Race: 3:00
First: Youfillupmysenses
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
Form: 8 (Shows promise)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Trainer RTF% Form: 38%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 21
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Nuevo Slovo
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
Form: 6 (Needs improvement)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: John S O’Donoghue
Trainer RTF% Form: 25%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate

Analysis: Youfillupmysenses has shown the most potential in limited outings. Nuevo Slovo is unproven but could improve.

Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Youfillupmysenses’s breeding suggests he’ll handle it better.

Race Name: Play Coral ‘Racing-Super-Series’ For Free Handicap (Class 4)

Race Distance: 1m2f
Racecourse: Ayr
Time of Race: 3:30
First: Curran
Age: 4
Weight: 9-3
Form: 3545-9 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Joe Fanning
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 44%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 72
TS: 86
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Spirit Of Acklam
Age: 4
Weight: 9-10
Form: 0353-0 (Needs to bounce back)
Going: Good
Jockey: Joanna Mason
Trainer: Michael & David Easterby
Trainer RTF% Form: 42%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 79
TS: 74
Probability: Second Horse Moderate

Analysis: Curran’s top speed and consistency make him the pick. Spirit Of Acklam has class but needs to rediscover form.

Scenario Analysis: If the pace is slow, Spirit Of Acklam’s stamina could be a factor, but Curran’s speed is decisive.

Race Name: Coral Committed To Safer-Gambling Handicap (Class 5)

Race Distance: 7f50y
Racecourse: Ayr
Time of Race: 4:05
First: Kode Secret
Age: 4
Weight: 8-10
Form: 16002- (Strong recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Trainer RTF% Form: 38%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 61
TS: 79
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Starliner
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
Form: 674523 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Tommie Jakes
Trainer: Linda Perratt
Trainer RTF% Form: –
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 72
TS: 77
Probability: Second Horse Moderate

Analysis: Kode Secret is lightly raced and improving rapidly. Starliner is consistent but may lack the upside.

Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Starliner’s experience could help, but Kode Secret’s potential is undeniable.

Race Name: Coral ‘Confined’ Handicap (Class 6)

Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Ayr
Time of Race: 4:40
First: City Of Strangers
Age: 3
Weight: 9-13
Form: 45-61 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer: Ivan Furtado
Trainer RTF% Form: 23%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 61
TS: 62
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Barmyblade
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
Form: 7750-1 (Needs to confirm)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Trainer RTF% Form: 38%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 52
TS: 53
Probability: Second Horse Moderate

Analysis: City Of Strangers has the highest OR and is improving. Barmyblade is unproven at this level.

Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Barmyblade could close late, but City Of Strangers’s class should prevail.

Race Name: Coral Handicap (Class 6)

Race Distance: 1m5f26y
Racecourse: Ayr
Time of Race: 5:13
First: Flying Scotsman
Age: 8
Weight: 9-8
Form: 4-1433 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer: Ben Haslam
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 58
TS: 26
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Vampire Slayer
Age: 5
Weight: 9-7
Form: 5422-7 (Needs to bounce back)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: Daragh Bourke
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 57
TS: 64
Probability: Second Horse Moderate

Analysis: Flying Scotsman’s consistency and experience make him the pick. Vampire Slayer has potential but needs to confirm.

Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Vampire Slayer’s stamina could be a factor, but Flying Scotsman’s form is solid.

Best Value for Money Horse at Ayr (28th April 2025)

Horse: Kode Secret
Age: 4
Weight: 8-10
Form: 16002- (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 61
TS: 79
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: Kode Secret has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making him a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit him, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.

In summary, Kode Secret presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Ayr – 28th April 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

14:00 – Virgin Bet Daily Extra Places Apprentice Handicap (6f, Class 6)

• Giselles Izzy (Probability: 80%)
• Rory (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]

14:30 – Virgin Bet Best Odds Daily Restricted Maiden Stakes (1m, Class 5)

• Tee Aitch Aye (Probability: 78%) [Flagged: <80%]
• Dwindling Funds (Probability: 70%) [Flagged: <80%]

15:00 – Virgin Bet EBF Maiden Stakes (5f, Class 5)

• Mr Nippy (Probability: 85%)
• Society Of Honor (Probability: 80%)

15:30 – Virgin Bet Every Saturday Money Back Handicap (1m 2f, Class 4)

• Spirit Of Acklam (Probability: 82%)
• Sea Regal (Probability: 78%) [Flagged: <80%]

16:05 – Virgin Bet Handicap (7f, Class 5)

• King Of The Jungle (Probability: 80%)
• Agnes Grey (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]

16:40 – Virgin Bet Daily Price Boosts Confined Handicap (5f, Class 6)

• Giselles Izzy (Probability: 80%)
• Bernie The Bear (Probability: 70%) [Flagged: <80%]

17:13 – Virgin Bet Fives Handicap (1m 5f, Class 6)

• City Of Strangers (Probability: 80%)
• Barmyblade (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. Mr Nippy – 15:00, Ayr, (85%)
2. Spirit Of Acklam – 15:30, Ayr, (82%)
3. Giselles Izzy – 14:00, Ayr, (80%)
4. City Of Strangers – 17:13, Ayr, (80%)

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. Mr Nippy – 15:00, Ayr
2. Spirit Of Acklam – 15:30, Ayr
3. Giselles Izzy – 14:00, Ayr
4. City Of Strangers – 17:13, Ayr

Doubles

1. Mr Nippy + Spirit Of Acklam
2. Mr Nippy + Giselles Izzy
3. Mr Nippy + City Of Strangers
4. Spirit Of Acklam + Giselles Izzy
5. Spirit Of Acklam + City Of Strangers
6. Giselles Izzy + City Of Strangers

Trebles

1. Mr Nippy + Spirit Of Acklam + Giselles Izzy
2. Mr Nippy + Spirit Of Acklam + City Of Strangers
3. Mr Nippy + Giselles Izzy + City Of Strangers
4. Spirit Of Acklam + Giselles Izzy + City Of Strangers

Four-Fold Accumulator

• Mr Nippy + Spirit Of Acklam + Giselles Izzy + City Of Strangers

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Spirit Of Acklam (82%) –
• Highest Probability: Mr Nippy (85%) –
• Alternative if Needed: Society Of Honor (80%) –