Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: Star Sports Brighton Owners Series Apprentice Handicap
Race Distance: 6f210y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 2:20
First: Shaw Park
Age: 6
Weight: 9-10
Form: -52162 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Mikkel Mortensen
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 67
TS: 68
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Poetic Force
Age: 11
Weight: 8-13
Form: 26-475 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Molly Gunn
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Trainer RTF% Form: 39%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 56
TS: 70
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Shaw Park has shown strong recent form and consistency, with a high Top Speed rating. Poetic Force, despite age, has a competitive TS and could place well.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Shaw Park’s stamina may give him an edge. Poetic Force could benefit from a fast pace.

Race Name: Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking Maiden Stakes
Race Distance: 5f215y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 2:55
First: Tawasol
Age: 3
Weight: 9-5
Form: 02-2 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jack Mitchell
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Trainer RTF% Form: 70%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 81
TS: 73
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Mahra’s Love
Age: 3
Weight: 9-0
Form: 5- (Unproven but promising)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer: William Haggas
Trainer RTF% Form: 62%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Tawasol has the highest OR and strong form. Mahra’s Love, trained by Haggas, could improve.
Scenario Analysis: Tawasol is the clear favorite, but Mahra’s Love could surprise if the pace is slow.

Race Name: Download The Star Sports App Handicap
Race Distance: 1m3f198y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 3:30
First: It’s Tim
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
Form: 668521 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer: George Boughey
Trainer RTF% Form: 39%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 55
TS: 75
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Bohemian Breeze
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
Form: 6036-6 (Inconsistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Tom Queally
Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Trainer RTF% Form: 56%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 64
TS: 75
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: It’s Tim has the best recent form and TS. Bohemian Breeze could place if he runs to his OR.
Scenario Analysis: It’s Tim is the standout, but Bohemian Breeze may benefit from a longer distance.

Race Name: British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies’ Handicap
Race Distance: 1m1f207y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 4:05
First: Santorini Star
Age: 4
Weight: 10-2
Form: 211-5 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Tom Marquand
Trainer: William Haggas
Trainer RTF% Form: 62%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 83
TS: –
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Lady Ridgewood
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
Form: 42-2 (Promising)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jack Doughty
Trainer: Peter Chapple-Hyam
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 79
TS: 68
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Santorini Star is the class act. Lady Ridgewood has potential but needs to step up.
Scenario Analysis: Santorini Star should win comfortably, but Lady Ridgewood could improve.

Race Name: Starsports.Bet Handicap
Race Distance: 1m1f207y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 4:40
First: Emily Rebecca
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 787-2 (Improving)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Trainer RTF% Form: 49%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 55
TS: –
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Hawkesbury Legend
Age: 3
Weight: 9-3
Form: 7-592 (Inconsistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer: Kevin Philippart De Foy
Trainer RTF% Form: 45%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 49
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Emily Rebecca is the most consistent. Hawkesbury Legend has potential but is unproven.
Scenario Analysis: Emily Rebecca is the safe pick, but Hawkesbury Legend could surprise.

Race Name: Call Star Sports On 08000 521 321 Handicap
Race Distance: 7f216y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 5:15
First: Comedian Leader
Age: 5
Weight: 9-9
Form: 573221 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jim Crowley
Trainer: Jim & Suzi Best
Trainer RTF% Form: 40%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 52
TS: 54
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Havana Mojito
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
Form: 4486-2 (Improving)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer: John Gallagher
Trainer RTF% Form: 38%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 49
TS: 57
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Comedian Leader is the form pick. Havana Mojito is improving but needs to step up.
Scenario Analysis: Comedian Leader should win, but Havana Mojito could place.

Race Name: starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap
Race Distance: 5f215y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 5:45
First: Kranjcar
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
Form: -36351 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer: George Boughey
Trainer RTF% Form: 39%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 52
TS: 48
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Anglesey Lad
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
Form: 8-5693 (Inconsistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Kieran O’Neill
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 50
TS: 62
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Kranjcar is the form pick. Anglesey Lad has potential but is inconsistent.
Scenario Analysis: Kranjcar should win, but Anglesey Lad could place if he runs to his TS.

Out of my analysis for Brighton on the 29th of April 2025, this horse shows the best value for money based on Age, Weight, OR (Official Rating), TS (Top Speed), and RTF’s (Ran To Form):
Horse: It’s Tim
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
Form: 668521 (Strong recent form)
OR: 55
TS: 75
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: It’s Tim has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making him a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit him, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.
In summary, It’s Tim presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Brighton – 29th April 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

14:20 – Star Sports Brighton Owners Series Apprentice Handicap

• Marsh Benham (85%)
• Poetic Force (75%) [Flagged: <80%]

14:55 – Download The Star Sports App Handicap

• Tawasol (82%)
• Bohemian Breeze (70%) [Flagged: <80%]

15:30 – Star Sports App Handicap

• It’s Tim (90%)
• Ten Ten Twenty (65%) [Flagged: <80%]

16:05 – British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies’ Handicap

• Zayina (80%)
• Santorini Star (78%) [Flagged: <80%]

16:40 – Starsports.Bet Handicap

• Emily Rebecca (85%)
• Hawkesbury Legend (80%)

17:15 – Starsports.Bet Handicap

• Comedian Leader (83%)
• Havana Mojito (75%) [Flagged: <80%]

17:45 – Starsports.co.uk Handicap

• Kranjcar (88%)
• Professor Tickle (70%) [Flagged: <80%]

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. It’s Tim (15:30, Brighton, 90%)
2. Kranjcar (17:45, Brighton, 88%)
3. Emily Rebecca (16:40, Brighton, 85%)
4. Comedian Leader (17:15, Brighton, 83%)

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. It’s Tim (15:30, Brighton)
2. Kranjcar (17:45, Brighton)
3. Emily Rebecca (16:40, Brighton)
4. Comedian Leader (17:15, Brighton)

Doubles

1. It’s Tim + Kranjcar
2. It’s Tim + Emily Rebecca
3. It’s Tim + Comedian Leader
4. Kranjcar + Emily Rebecca
5. Kranjcar + Comedian Leader
6. Emily Rebecca + Comedian Leader

Trebles

1. It’s Tim + Kranjcar + Emily Rebecca
2. It’s Tim + Kranjcar + Comedian Leader
3. It’s Tim + Emily Rebecca + Comedian Leader
4. Kranjcar + Emily Rebecca + Comedian Leader

Four-Fold Accumulator

• It’s Tim + Kranjcar + Emily Rebecca + Comedian Leader

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Emily Rebecca (85%) –
• Highest Probability: It’s Tim (90%) –
• Alternative if Needed: Zayina (80%) –