Before You Dive In – Read This First
Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.
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Race Name: Star Sports Brighton Owners Series Handicap (Class 6)
Race Distance: 5f60y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 4:45
First: Royal Accord
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 75212 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jack Doughty
Trainer: Stuart Williams
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 58
TS: 55
Probability: First Horse High
Second: She Went Whoosh
Age: 3
Weight: 10-1
Form: 52451 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Alec Voikhansky
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Trainer RTF% Form: 15%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 66
TS: 25
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Royal Accord has shown strong recent form, including a close second last time out. The slight drop in class and ideal distance make this a prime opportunity. She Went Whoosh carries top weight but has the speed to challenge if she handles the track.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Watkins (7) could enter contention given his consistency on slower surfaces.
Race Name: Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes (Band D)
Race Distance: 5f60y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 5:20
First: Dapper Charm
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
Form: 2 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer: Archie Watson
Trainer RTF% Form: 63%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 72
Probability: First Horse Very High
Second: Eternal Solace
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
Form: – (Unraced but well-bred)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Trevor Whelan
Trainer: Ollie Sangster
Trainer RTF% Form: 62%
RTF’s: –
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Dapper Charm has already shown ability with a promising debut run. Eternal Solace is an unknown quantity but comes from a top yard and could outrun odds.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Rogue Speed (2) may improve given his pedigree for cut.
Race Name: Download The Star Sports App Handicap (Class 5)
Race Distance: 6f210y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 5:50
First: Packetofbiscuits
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 65221 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer: Sir Mark Prescott
Trainer RTF% Form: 58%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 75
TS: –
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Mandana
Age: 3
Weight: 9-5
Form: 2326-1 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Saffie Osborne
Trainer: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 71
TS: 65
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Packetofbiscuits is the class act here with a progressive profile. Mandana is a danger if she can replicate her latest win.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground eases, Bintjan (3) could close strongly given her stamina.
Race Name: Star Sports Handicap (Class 6)
Race Distance: 1m1f207y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 6:25
First: Voix De Bocelli
Age: 5
Weight: 9-4
Form: 6967-2 (Improving)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jason Watson
Trainer: Henrietta C Knight
Trainer RTF% Form: 83%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 52
TS: 60
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Light Up Our Stars
Age: 9
Weight: 9-5
Form: 824523 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Joey Haynes
Trainer: Scott Dixon
Trainer RTF% Form: 41%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 53
TS: 48
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Voix De Bocelli is the clear form pick after a strong second last time out. Light Up Our Stars brings experience but may struggle to match the selection’s turn of foot.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens significantly, Mrembo (4) could outrun her odds given her record on testing conditions.
Race Name: Starsports.Bet Handicap (Class 6)
Race Distance: 7f216y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 6:55
First: Blenheim Star
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
Form: 2874-3 (Progressive)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Luke Morris
Trainer: William Knight
Trainer RTF% Form: 62%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 64
TS: 68
Probability: First Horse Very High
Second: Waleyfa
Age: 7
Weight: 9-5
Form: 213-43 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer: Daniel & Claire Kubler
Trainer RTF% Form: 56%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 61
TS: 64
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Blenheim Star is the standout performer here with the highest speed figure in the field. Waleyfa is a solid place contender but lacks the selection’s acceleration.
Scenario Analysis: A faster pace would suit Graffiti (3), who could clatter into the frame late.
Race Name: Call Star Sports On 08000 521 321 Handicap (Class 6)
Race Distance: 6f210y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 7:25
First: Kranjcar
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
Form: 363512 (Progressive)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer: George Boughey
Trainer RTF% Form: 42%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 52
TS: 47
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Sam’s Hope
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
Form: 052672 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: William Carson
Trainer: Tony Carroll
Trainer RTF% Form: 41%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 51
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Kranjcar is the most unexposed runner in the field and open to further improvement. Sam’s Hope is honest but may struggle to concede weight to the selection.
Scenario Analysis: If the rail proves advantageous, Bear To Dream (8) could outrun his odds from a low draw.
Race Name: starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap (Class 5)
Race Distance: 5f215y
Racecourse: Brighton
Time of Race: 7:55
First: Northcliff
Age: 5
Weight: 9-8
Form: 245451 (In form)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Darragh Keenan
Trainer: Michael Keady
Trainer RTF% Form: 31%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 73
TS: 78
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Mojomaker
Age: 6
Weight: 9-6
Form: 9-3833 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Laura Pearson
Trainer: David Loughnane
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 71
TS: 74
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Northcliff boasts the best recent form and highest speed rating. Mojomaker is a credible threat but may need the race to unfold perfectly.
Scenario Analysis: A strong pace would bring Secret Handsheikh (7) into the equation given his closing style.
Out of my analysis for Brighton on the 30th of April 2025, this horse shows the best value for money based on Age, Weight, OR, TS, and RTF’s:
Horse: Royal Accord
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 75212 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 58
TS: 55
RTF’s: Ran To Form
Form and Improvement: Royal Accord has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making her a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit her, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.
In summary, Royal Accord presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.
Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Brighton – 30th April 2025
Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)
16:45 Brighton – Star Sports Brighton Owners Series Handicap
- Royal Accord (Probability: 85%)
- She Went Whoosh (Probability: 80%)
17:20 Brighton – Star Sports We Believe In Bookmaking EBF Restricted Maiden Stakes
- Dapper Charm (Probability: 90%)
- Eternal Solace (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]
19:55 Brighton – starsportsbet.co.uk Handicap
- Northcliff (Probability: 88%)
- The Thames Boatman (Probability: 78%) [Flagged: <80%]
Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)
- Dapper Charm – 17:20 Brighton, Probability: 90%
- Northcliff – 19:55 Brighton, Probability: 88%
- Royal Accord – 16:45 Brighton, Probability: 85%
- She Went Whoosh – 16:45 Brighton, Probability: 80%
Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown
Singles
- Dapper Charm – 17:20 Brighton
- Northcliff – 19:55 Brighton
- Royal Accord – 16:45 Brighton
- She Went Whoosh – 16:45 Brighton
Doubles
- Dapper Charm + Northcliff
- Dapper Charm + Royal Accord
- Dapper Charm + She Went Whoosh
- Northcliff + Royal Accord
- Northcliff + She Went Whoosh
- Royal Accord + She Went Whoosh
Trebles
- Dapper Charm + Northcliff + Royal Accord
- Dapper Charm + Northcliff + She Went Whoosh
- Dapper Charm + Royal Accord + She Went Whoosh
- Northcliff + Royal Accord + She Went Whoosh
Four-Fold Accumulator
- Dapper Charm + Northcliff + Royal Accord + She Went Whoosh
Key Insights
- Best Value Pick: Royal Accord (85%) –
- Highest Probability: Dapper Charm (90%) –
- Alternative if Needed: She Went Whoosh (80%) –
