Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: Fleet Finders Supports The National Horseracing College EBF Novice Stakes

Race Distance: 1m2f5y
Racecourse: Pontefract
Time of Race: 1:50
First: Munsif
Age: 3
Weight: 9-6
Form: 1 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jim Crowley
Trainer: Roger Varian
Trainer RTF% Form: 60%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: 54
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Jeanne Baret
Age: 3
Weight: 8-8
Form: 0- (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good
Jockey: Joe Fanning
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 52%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 52
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Munsif is the standout here with a strong debut win and a high RTF%. Jeanne Baret has potential but lacks race experience.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Munsif’s stamina edge becomes even more pronounced.

Race Name: Racing TV Club Day EBF Maiden Stakes

Race Distance: 5f3y
Racecourse: Pontefract
Time of Race: 2:22
First: Argentine Tango
Age: 2
Weight: 9-2
Form: 2 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Trainer RTF% Form: 35%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 64
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Champion Island
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
Form: – (Unraced but well-bred)
Going: Good
Jockey: Andrew Mullen
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 52%
RTF’s: Unproven
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Argentine Tango has the best form, while Champion Island is an unknown quantity with potential.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground firms up, Champion Island’s breeding may give an edge.

Race Name: Welcome Racing TV Members Handicap

Race Distance: 5f3y
Racecourse: Pontefract
Time of Race: 2:57
First: Lethal Nymph
Age: 6
Weight: 9-11
Form: 230-63 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer: Paul Midgley
Trainer RTF% Form: 30%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 80
TS: 72
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Hedge Fund
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
Form: 67244- (Strong recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: Alistair Rawlinson
Trainer: Michael Appleby
Trainer RTF% Form: 64%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 78
TS: 93
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Lethal Nymph’s consistency and OR make her the favorite, while Hedge Fund has speed but needs to translate it to wins.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Hedge Fund could upset.

Race Name: National Horseracing College Handicap

Race Distance: 1m2f5y
Racecourse: Pontefract
Time of Race: 3:32
First: Molinari
Age: 8
Weight: 9-9
Form: 2311-2 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer: Martin Todhunter
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 74
TS: 57
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Show Biz Kid
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
Form: 49-231 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Sean Kirrane
Trainer: Julia & Shelley Birkett
Trainer RTF% Form: 63%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 72
TS: 76
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Molinari’s experience and form edge him ahead, while Show Biz Kid is improving rapidly.
Scenario Analysis: If the race turns tactical, Molinari’s stamina will be key.

Race Name: Nars Supports The NHC Handicap

Race Distance: 1m6y
Racecourse: Pontefract
Time of Race: 4:05
First: On The River
Age: 6
Weight: 9-9
Form: 0113-2 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: Joe Fanning
Trainer: Harriet Bethell
Trainer RTF% Form: 60%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 85
TS: 82
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Superposition
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
Form: 34/5-1 (Unpredictable but talented)
Going: Good
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer: Ed Dunlop
Trainer RTF% Form: 29%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 82
TS: 59
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: On The River’s consistency and OR make her the pick, while Superposition has upside but is inconsistent.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace collapses, Superposition’s late speed could be decisive.

Race Name: Tuffa Boots Supports The NHC Handicap

Race Distance: 6f
Racecourse: Pontefract
Time of Race: 4:38
First: Kats Bob
Age: 7
Weight: 9-6
Form: -81111 (Exceptional recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 75
TS: 83
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Zip It Up
Age: 4
Weight: 9-11
Form: 12- (Promising but unproven)
Going: Good
Jockey: Sam Hitchcott
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Trainer RTF% Form: 45%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 80
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Kats Bob is in scintillating form, while Zip It Up is untested in handicaps.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Zip It Up’s breeding may help.

Race Name: Trustees Of The National Horseracing College Handicap

Race Distance: 1m6y
Racecourse: Pontefract
Time of Race: 5:10
First: Anificas Beauty
Age: 6
Weight: 8-13
Form: 468-82 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: Peter Winks
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 45
TS: –
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Mickey Mongoose
Age: 5
Weight: 9-5
Form: 514347 (Tough competitor)
Going: Good
Jockey: Cam Hardie
Trainer: Olly Williams
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 51
TS: 55
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Anificas Beauty’s consistency and low weight make her the pick, while Mickey Mongoose is a fighter.
Scenario Analysis: If the race turns into a sprint, Mickey Mongoose could prevail.

Best Value for Money Horse at Pontefract (30th April 2025)

Horse: Kats Bob
Age: 7
Weight: 9-6
Form: -81111 (Exceptional recent form)
OR: 75
TS: 83
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: Kats Bob has won four of his last five starts and is still improving despite his age. His TS rating is strong for this class.
Race Conditions: The good ground suits his running style, and his low weight is a bonus.
In summary, Kats Bob presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between winning potential and payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Pontefract – 30th April 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

13:50 – Fleet Finders Supports The National Horseracing College EBF Novice Stakes

• Munsif – 85%
• Action Pact –

14:22 – Racing TV Club Day EBF Maiden Stakes

• Champion Island – 80%
• Dandy’s Rocket –

14:57 – Welcome Racing TV Members Handicap

• Cloud King – 80%
• Reigning Profit –

15:32 – National Horseracing College Handicap

• Molinari – 85%
• Show Biz Kid – 80%

16:05 – Nars Supports The NHC Handicap

• On The River – 85%
• Theme Park – 80%

16:38 – Racing TV Club Day Handicap

• Zip It Up – 80%
• Rock Opera –

17:10 – Trustees Of The National Horseracing College Handicap

• Anificas Beauty – 80%
• Mickey Mongoose –

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. Munsif (13:50, Pontefract, 85%)
2. Cloud King (14:57, Pontefract, 80%)
3. Molinari (15:32, Pontefract, 85%)
4. On The River (16:05, Pontefract, 85%)

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. Munsif (13:50, Pontefract)
2. Cloud King (14:57, Pontefract)
3. Molinari (15:32, Pontefract)
4. On The River (16:05, Pontefract)

Doubles

1. Munsif + Cloud King
2. Munsif + Molinari
3. Munsif + On The River
4. Cloud King + Molinari
5. Cloud King + On The River
6. Molinari + On The River

Trebles

1. Munsif + Cloud King + Molinari
2. Munsif + Cloud King + On The River
3. Munsif + Molinari + On The River
4. Cloud King + Molinari + On The River

Four-Fold Accumulator

• Munsif + Cloud King + Molinari + On The River

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Cloud King (80%) – .
• Highest Probability: Molinari (85%) – .
• Alternative if Needed: Anificas Beauty (80%) – .