Bet Smart & Win – Wolverhampton (AW) 06/09/25
Bet Smart & Win
Racing — Meeting Analysis
Updated: Wolverhampton (AW) — Sat 06/09/25

How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge

Our AI models break down Overround to uncover True Fair Market Value.

Criteria: Overround 100–115%, NP 27–34%, IP < NP, 8–12 runners, Value AF/F. Preferred classes: 1,3,4,5.

Nap of the Meeting — Wolverhampton (AW) Sat 06/09/25

NAP
Overround: 113% Course: Wolverhampton (AW) Time: 20:12 Distance: 1m 1f 104y Runners: 10 Class: 6

#6 Karakula (Form: 9002)

J: Jonny Peate T: James Ferguson Trainer RTF%: 40
NP: 32%IP: 29%Odds: 4.50 AF

Handicap debut second here reads strongly; NP>IP inside target overround.

1

17:10 Wolverhampton (AW) — Remembering Ted & Sally Sergent EBF Fillies’ Novice Stakes (GBB) (2yo)

Overround: 113%Runners: 10Class: 5

#7 Moonlight Mirage (Form: 4)

J: Lewis Edmunds T: George Scott Trainer RTF%: 25
NP: 27%IP: 26%Odds: 3.75 AF

Promising debut; Tapeta expected to suit a stronger second run.

#1 Country Artiste (Form: 72254)

J: Jack Nicholls T: Clive Cox Trainer RTF%: 29
NP: 25%IP: 25%Odds: 4.00 F

Solid base of form; track-suited speed and reliable frame claims.

#9 Westend Music (Form: 5522)

J: Pat Cosgrave T: Richard Hughes Trainer RTF%: 52
NP: 18%IP: 18%Odds: 6.50 F

Consistent finisher; dependable late fractions for a placing.

2

17:40 Wolverhampton (AW) — The Jimmy Furlong Memorial Nursery Handicap (2yo 0–65)

Overround: 114%Runners: 9Class: 6

#3 Pull The Rug (Form: 754)

J: Archie Young T: Edward Bethell Trainer RTF%: 40
NP: 28%IP: 24%Odds: 5.00 AF

Nursery switch a catalyst; model prefers mid-race efficiency at 5f.

#1 Tamather (Form: 347)

J: Mason Paetel T: James Owen Trainer RTF%: 56
NP: 26%IP: 26%Odds: 3.75 F

Workable mark; prominent ride angle fits 5f dynamics.

#6 Oasis Diamond (Form: 630146)

J: Billy Garritty T: Michael & David Easterby Trainer RTF%: 50
NP: 17%IP: 18%Odds: 6.50 BF

Winner already; more of a place than win profile at current quotes.

3

18:12 Wolverhampton (AW) — Celebrating Carl & Sophie’s Wedding Day Restricted Maiden (GBB) (Bands B–D)

Overround: 110%Runners: 4Class: 5

#1 Census (Form: 3)

J: Pat Cosgrave T: Simon & Ed Crisford Trainer RTF%: 55
NP: 34%IP: 32%Odds: 3.10 AF

Debut promise; step up in trip and tactical field size suit turn of foot.

#4 Dancingintherain (Form: 32-3)

J: Sean D Bowen T: Saeed bin Suroor Trainer RTF%: 100
NP: 33%IP: 33%Odds: 3.00 F

Reliable standard; likely to travel strongly and be there late.

#3 Sky Advocate (Form: -46283)

J: Jack Nicholls T: Clive Cox Trainer RTF%: 29
NP: 21%IP: 22%Odds: 6.00 BF

Race-fit and consistent; fair frame player if allowed to dictate.

4

18:42 Wolverhampton (AW) — Independent Pest Control & Hygiene Services Handicap (0–70)

Overround: 112%Runners: 8Class: 5

#4 Travel Agent (Form: 487901)

J: Tyler Heard T: Martin Dunne Trainer RTF%: 71
NP: 29%IP: 28%Odds: 4.00 AF

Last-time-out win; strong late kick suits anticipated 5f pace burn-up.

#1 Night On Earth (Form: 934327)

J: Andrew Breslin T: Ian Williams Trainer RTF%: 50
NP: 26%IP: 29%Odds: 3.25 BF

Class angle with repeatable speed; slightly overbet but key to exotics.

#2 Phoenix Beach (Form: 411566)

J: Kieran O’Neill T: Scott Dixon Trainer RTF%: 54
NP: 17%IP: 16%Odds: 6.50 F

Track/trip winner; can stalk hot fractions — fair frame value.

5

19:12 Wolverhampton (AW) — Ian Furlong & Louise Sergent Handicap (3yo 0–55)

Overround: 114%Runners: 11Class: 6

#2 Pretty Spirited (Form: 245411)

J: Aidan Keeley T: Kevin Frost Trainer RTF%: 40
NP: 31%IP: 30%Odds: 3.25 AF

Seeking hat-trick; maps to control race shape with NP edge over IP.

#7 Ballarat Bertie (Form: 415655)

J: Pat Cosgrave T: Richard Hughes Trainer RTF%: 52
NP: 22%IP: 19%Odds: 6.00 AF

Course winner; handy run-style — strong 2–3 finish with some win upside.

#3 Dancing Bay (Form: 5-9994)

J: Lewis Edmunds T: Jennie Candlish Trainer RTF%: 44
NP: 15%IP: 14%Odds: 10.00 F

Latest effort hinted at readiness; trip looks optimal for late work.

6

19:42 Wolverhampton (AW) — Signs Express Handicap (0–65)

Overround: 111%Runners: 6Class: 6

#2 Daaris (Form: 251533)

J: Jack Nicholls T: Kevin Frost Trainer RTF%: 40
NP: 30%IP: 29%Odds: 3.25 AF

Dual C&D winner; tactical small field plays to staying strengths.

#3 Golden Garden (Form: 4-0843)

J: Lewis Edmunds T: Jamie Osborne Trainer RTF%: 26
NP: 24%IP: 26%Odds: 3.75 BF

Unexposed at trip; pricing a shade tight for win but solid exacta player.

#1 Golden Flame (Form: 233686)

J: Mason Paetel T: Thomas Faulkner Trainer RTF%: 10
NP: 18%IP: 18%Odds: 6.00 F

Longer losing run tempers win appeal; consistent enough to make the frame.

7

20:12 Wolverhampton (AW) — Dan & Gemma — Holly & Brad Handicap (3yo 0–65)

Overround: 113%Runners: 10Class: 6

#6 Karakula (Form: 9002)

J: Jonny Peate T: James Ferguson Trainer RTF%: 40
NP: 32%IP: 29%Odds: 4.50 AF

Big step forward latest over C&D; pedigree and sectionals point to progress.

#7 Magdalayna (Form: 6-5694)

J: Alexandra Egan T: Hughie Morrison Trainer RTF%: 68
NP: 24%IP: 22%Odds: 5.00 AF

AW form stronger than turf; tactical pace should suit a stalking ride.

#9 Magic Runner (Form: -43344)

J: Billy Garritty T: Ruth Carr Trainer RTF%: 44
NP: 17%IP: 18%Odds: 6.00 BF

String of consistent efforts; dependable mid-race efficiency for a placing.

8

20:42 Wolverhampton (AW) — Independent Stone & Restorative Cleaning Handicap (0–68)

Overround: 112%Runners: 11Class: 5

#2 Bass Player (Form: 808302)

J: Jack Nicholls T: Kevin Frost Trainer RTF%: 40
NP: 28%IP: 27%Odds: 4.00 AF

Dual C&D winner with recent figure upgrades; pace map favours a midfield slingshot.

#8 Havana Touch (Form: 80-051)

J: Joey Haynes T: John Butler Trainer RTF%: 60
NP: 26%IP: 25%Odds: 4.50 F

Recent winner trending up; handy racing position a positive in this field size.

#3 Volto Di Medusa (Form: 436-81)

J: George Bass T: Jack Jones Trainer RTF%: 25
NP: 18%IP: 18%Odds: 6.00 F

Latest win backed by sustained late efficiency; 5lb rise looks manageable.

Notes

Overround colour guide: 100%115%   116%117%   118%+

Value Key: AF Above Fair    F Fair    BF Below Fair

Scoring System (/20): Class, Runners, NP, Odds, Value, Jockey SR, Form, SecEff.

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