Listowel — Sun 21/09/25
Bet Smart & Win
Races: 7 (1–7)
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
Our AI breaks down each bookmaker’s overround to uncover true fair value and identify Above-Fair (AF) plays.
How we pick winners
- Overround: 100–115% (green)
- Runners: 8–12
- Value: AF only when NP > IP
- Class: 5, 4 or 3
- Jockey: on strict whitelist
- NP: ≥ 27 and IP: below NP
1
Race 1
Overround: 108%
Class: —
Runners: 10
Yielding to Soft
#8 Gforcejenny (Form: 63t)
J: Conor Stone-Walsh
NP: 11%IP: 9%
15/2075%
Details
Why we like this
- NP ahead of IP in a green 108% book.
- Light weight profile; conditions suit.
#7 Whats New (Form: 31)
J: Cian Quirke
NP: 25%IP: 23%
16/2080%
Details
Why we like this
- Market leader; value edge modest (NP only slightly > IP).
#2 Something Noble (Form: 65)
J: E Walsh
NP: 12%IP: 11%
14/2070%
Details
Why we like this
- Meets AF condition; competitive profile.
2
Race 2
Overround: 105%
Class: —
Runners: 5
Yielding to Soft
#1 Jalila Moriviere (Form: 2414-66t)
J: Paul Townend
NP: 35%IP: 32%
18/2090%
Details
Why we like this
- Top NP & IP; elite connections.
- Green book boosts confidence.
#5 Adela Icon (Form: 13-4317h)
J: Brian Hayes
NP: 33%IP: 31%
17/2085%
Details
Why we like this
- Stable strength; NP>IP keeps value on side.
#3 Farfromnowhere (Form: 1/1-207)
J: Sean O'Keeffe
NP: 12%IP: 11%
14/2070%
Details
Why we like this
- Dark-horse angle with NP>IP.
3
Race 3
Overround: 112%
Class: —
Runners: 18
Yielding to Soft
#1 Pampar Lady (Form: 6-62116)
J: Eoin Staples
NP: 15%IP: 13%
16/2080%
Details
Why we like this
- 7lb claim enhances value; NP>IP.
#6 Glitz And Glamour (Form: 4-53614)
J: Calum Hogan
NP: 18%IP: 16%
15/2075%
Details
Why we like this
- Fav profile; NP & IP aligned with value edge.
#5 Sophia Rose (Form: -452516)
J: Keith Donoghue
NP: 12%IP: 11%
14/2070%
Details
Why we like this
- Stablemate with NP>IP; conditions acceptable.
4
Race 4
Overround: 110%
Class: —
Runners: 10
Yielding to Soft
#2 Champagne Kid (Form: 43276-6)
J: Eoghan Finegan
NP: 22%IP: 20%
16/2080%
Details
Why we like this
- Course-winning profile; NP>IP.
#9 Good Girl Kathleen (Form: 2/17-25t)
J: Donagh Meyler
NP: 28%IP: 25%
17/2085%
Details
Why we like this
- Likely favourite; retains value (NP>IP) in green book.
#3 Cocovic (Form: 8-82225h)
J: Sean Flanagan
NP: 16%IP: 14%
15/2075%
Details
Why we like this
- Consistent; NP>IP keeps each-way angle alive.
5
Race 5
Overround: 111%
Class: —
Runners: 8
Yielding to Soft
#6 Hashtag Pretender (Form: 2213-28t)
J: Sean Flanagan
NP: 16%IP: 14%
15/2075%
Details
Why we like this
- Value edge (NP>IP) and ground suitable.
#2 Birdie Or Bust (Form: 9-1U477t)
J: Darragh O'Keeffe
NP: 20%IP: 18%
16/2080%
Details
Why we like this
- Stable confidence; fav with NP>IP.
#8 Waterford Whispers (Form: 2P/27-7)
J: Simon Torrens
NP: 15%IP: 14%
14/2070%
Details
Why we like this
- Backup De Bromhead angle; NP>IP.
6
Race 6
Overround: 113%
Class: —
Runners: 13
Yielding to Soft
#10 Battle Of Ridgeway (Form: 5P2-917t)
J: Phillip Enright
NP: 14%IP: 12%
15/2075%
Details
Why we like this
- Recent win; NP>IP keeps value positive.
#7 Jasko Des Dames (Form: 12550-6t)
J: Darragh O'Keeffe
NP: 18%IP: 16%
16/2080%
Details
Why we like this
- Fav claims; NP>IP indicates Above-Fair.
#4 Embittered (Form: -5107111tp)
J: Sean Flanagan
NP: 13%IP: 11%
15/2075%
Details
Why we like this
- Plenty of recent wins; NP ahead of IP.
7
Race 7
Overround: 109%
Class: —
Runners: 11
Yielding to Soft
#10 Tomthescaffolder (Form: —)
J: Mr J L Gleeson
NP: 25%IP: 23%
18/2090%
Details
Why we like this
- Strong stable/jockey combo; NP>IP in green 109% book.
- Market confidence visible.
#11 Lady Lena (Form: —)
J: Mr P W Mullins
NP: 28%IP: 25%
18/2090%
Details
Why we like this
- Mullins bumper profile; clear value edge (NP>IP).
#8 Ozark's Walk (Form: 0-2425)
J: Mr B Barry
NP: 12%IP: 11%
14/2070%
Details
Why we like this
- Placed form; each-way value with NP>IP.
NAP
Listowel — NAP
Overround: 109%
Class: —
Runners: 11
Yielding to Soft
#10 Tomthescaffolder (Form: —)
J: Mr J L Gleeson
NP: 25%IP: 23%
19/2095%
Details
Why we like this
- Model’s strongest “run-that-wins” setup; NP>IP in a green 109% book.
- High-confidence trainer/jockey pairing; bumper profile ideal.