Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: Tim Goslings 60th ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
Race Distance: 1m7f168y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 4:10
First: Frontier Prince
Age: 4
Weight: 11-0
Form: 2317 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jonathan Burke
Trainer: Fergal O’Brien
Trainer RTF% Form: 52%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Settle Down Jill
Age: 5
Weight: 10-13
Form: /4726 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Harry Skelton
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 80
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Frontier Prince has shown consistent form and benefits from a lower weight. Settle Down Jill has strong speed figures but may struggle with the distance.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Settle Down Jill’s stamina could come into play.

Race Name: 4 Oaks Group Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Race Distance: 2m4f189y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 4:45
First: Salley Gardens
Age: 9
Weight: 11-7
Form: 24251 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Sean Bowen
Trainer: Olly Murphy
Trainer RTF% Form: 70%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 114
TS: 116
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: High Moon
Age: 10
Weight: 11-2
Form: 54F53 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Charlie Maggs
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 109
TS: 117
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Salley Gardens has a strong recent record and a high RTF%. High Moon has the speed but needs to overcome weight.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, High Moon’s stamina could be an advantage.

Race Name: Brooklyn Pilsner Novices’ Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m7f70y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 5:20
First: Izzy’s Grey
Age: 6
Weight: 11-12
Form: 45032 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Lee Edwards
Trainer: Belinda Clarke
Trainer RTF% Form: 100%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 92
TS: 79
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Star Vantage
Age: 8
Weight: 11-12
Form: 25424 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Aaron Anderson
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 92
TS: 92
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Izzy’s Grey has strong form and a high RTF%. Star Vantage is consistent but lacks top-end speed.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Star Vantage’s stamina could be a factor.

Race Name: Carlsberg Britvic Staffordshire Plate Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Race Distance: 3m10y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 5:55
First: Coco Mademoiselle
Age: 7
Weight: 10-11
Form: 262U1 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Harry Skelton
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 130
TS: 139
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Destroytheevidence
Age: 7
Weight: 11-3
Form: 12522 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Ciaran Gethings
Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
Trainer RTF% Form: 29%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 136
TS: 132
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Coco Mademoiselle has top speed and form. Destroytheevidence is consistent but carries more weight.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Destroytheevidence’s stamina could be key.

Race Name: 1664 Biere Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m3f207y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 6:30
First: Monviel
Age: 8
Weight: 10-10
Form: 70001 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Paul O’Brien
Trainer: Harry Derham
Trainer RTF% Form: 42%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 121
TS: 138
Probability: First Horse High

Second: For Pleasure
Age: 10
Weight: 10-13
Form: 42152 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Sean Bowen
Trainer: Olly Murphy
Trainer RTF% Form: 70%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 124
TS: 119
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Monviel has strong recent form and speed. For Pleasure is consistent but older.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, For Pleasure’s experience could help.

Race Name: QuinnBet Novices’ Handicap Chase
Race Distance: 3m10y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 7:00
First: Side Stepper
Age: 6
Weight: 10-5
Form: 33582 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jack Tudor
Trainer: Christian Williams
Trainer RTF% Form: 100%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 73
TS: 82
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Giveupyerauldsins
Age: 7
Weight: 12-0
Form: 617P2 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Henry Brooke
Trainer: Ruth Jefferson
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 96
TS: 94
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Side Stepper has strong form and a low weight. Giveupyerauldsins is consistent but carries more weight.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Giveupyerauldsins’ stamina could be an advantage.

Race Name: Birrificio Angelo Poretti Handicap Hurdle (Div I)
Race Distance: 1m7f168y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 7:30
First: Highway One O Five
Age: 6
Weight: 11-12
Form: 333P1 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Freddie Gordon
Trainer: Chris Gordon
Trainer RTF% Form: 69%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 95
TS: 82
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Seraphic
Age: 5
Weight: 11-8
Form: /4602 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Nick Slatter
Trainer: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson
Trainer RTF% Form: –
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 91
TS: 77
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Highway One O Five has strong recent form. Seraphic is consistent but lacks top speed.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Seraphic’s stamina could be a factor.

Race Name: Birrificio Angelo Poretti Handicap Hurdle (Div II)
Race Distance: 1m7f168y
Racecourse: Uttoxeter
Time of Race: 8:00
First: Our Lil
Age: 4
Weight: 11-8
Form: 4317 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Harry Skelton
Trainer: Dan Skelton
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 96
TS: 73
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Gregorians Star
Age: 4
Weight: 11-11
Form: 05533 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Marc Goldstein
Trainer: Sheena West
Trainer RTF% Form: 50%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 99
TS: 58
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Our Lil has strong form and a low weight. Gregorians Star is consistent but lacks top speed.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Gregorians Star’s stamina could be key.

Best Value for Money Horse:
Out of my analysis for Uttoxeter on the 03rd of May 2025, Coco Mademoiselle shows the best value for money based on:
Age: 7
Weight: 10-11
Form: 262U1 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 130
TS: 139
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: Coco Mademoiselle has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making her a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit her, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.

In summary, Coco Mademoiselle presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Uttoxeter – 3rd May 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

16:10 – Tim Goslings 60th ‘National Hunt’ Maiden Hurdle

• Trustintimes (Probability: 85%)
• Bongo Man (Probability: 78%) [Flagged: <80%]

16:45 – QuinnBet Handicap Chase

• Salley Gardens (Probability: 82%)
• Diplomatic Ash (Probability: 76%) [Flagged: <80%]

17:20 – Brooklyn Pilsner Novices’ Handicap Hurdle

• Izzy’s Grey (Probability: 80%)
• Star Vantage (Probability: 74%) [Flagged: <80%]

17:55 – Carlsberg Britvic Staffordshire Plate Handicap Chase

• Coco Mademoiselle (Probability: 83%)
• Destroytheevidence (Probability: 79%) [Flagged: <80%]

18:30 – 1664 Biere Handicap Hurdle

• Monviel (Probability: 81%)
• Hermino AA (Probability: 77%) [Flagged: <80%]

19:00 – QuinnBet Novices’ Handicap Chase

• Giveupyerauldsins (Probability: 84%)
• Kapamazov (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]

19:30 – Birrificio Angelo Poretti Handicap Hurdle (Div 1)

• Highway One O Five (Probability: 80%)
• Seraphic (Probability: 78%) [Flagged: <80%]

20:00 – San Miguel Handicap Hurdle

• Ambassador (Probability: 82%)
• Gregorians Star (Probability: 76%) [Flagged: <80%]

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. Trustintimes (16:10, Uttoxeter, 85%)
2. Coco Mademoiselle (17:55, Uttoxeter, 83%)
3. Giveupyerauldsins (19:00, Uttoxeter, 84%)
4. Ambassador (20:00, Uttoxeter, 82%)

Note: All selections meet the ≥80% probability threshold.

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. Trustintimes (16:10, Uttoxeter)
2. Coco Mademoiselle (17:55, Uttoxeter)
3. Giveupyerauldsins (19:00, Uttoxeter)
4. Ambassador (20:00, Uttoxeter)

Doubles

1. Trustintimes + Coco Mademoiselle
2. Trustintimes + Giveupyerauldsins
3. Trustintimes + Ambassador
4. Coco Mademoiselle + Giveupyerauldsins
5. Coco Mademoiselle + Ambassador
6. Giveupyerauldsins + Ambassador

Trebles

1. Trustintimes + Coco Mademoiselle + Giveupyerauldsins
2. Trustintimes + Coco Mademoiselle + Ambassador
3. Trustintimes + Giveupyerauldsins + Ambassador
4. Coco Mademoiselle + Giveupyerauldsins + Ambassador

Four-Fold Accumulator

• Trustintimes + Coco Mademoiselle + Giveupyerauldsins + Ambassador

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Giveupyerauldsins (84%) –
• Highest Probability: Trustintimes (85%) –
• Alternative if Needed: Highway One O Five (80%) –