Bet Smart & Win — Newcastle Race Preview
Tue 23/09/25 • 8 Race Card • 3 selections per race – In Order Of Highest Probability
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
We turn the bookmakers’ margin to our advantage. Our custom AI model applies a precise mathematical formula to strip out the bookmaker’s overround, revealing the true market value of each race. Combined with our proven system, this approach consistently delivers an exceptional place strike rate of over 80%.
How We Pick Winners
- Overround 100–115% (green)
- Runners 8–12
- Value: AF or F
- Class: 5, 4 or 3
- Whitelist jockeys
- NP ≥ 27, IP < NP
Details
- Trainer: William Haggas
- RTF: 67%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Clear form pick; NP > IP signals strong value. Overround in ideal band.
Details
- Trainer: Charlie Johnston
- RTF: 52%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Main danger; fair value and profile fits.
Details
- Trainer: Saeed bin Suroor
- RTF: 100%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Solid for a minor placing on stable’s current RTF.
Details
- Trainer: Richard Fahey
- RTF: 32%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
AF value; runners and OR align with ideal profile.
Details
- Trainer: Mike Sowersby
- RTF: 33%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Fair value; recent win boosts claims.
Details
- Trainer: Jedd O’Keeffe
- RTF: 29%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Capable; fair value in competitive heat.
Details
- Trainer: Jennie Candlish
- RTF: 44%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Trip looks a positive; AF value.
Details
- Trainer: Ewan Whillans
- RTF: —
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Unexposed at trip; fair value challenger.
Details
- Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
- RTF: 39%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Logical placer; fair value.
Details
- Trainer: Andrew Balding
- RTF: 58%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Debut winner; AF value with ideal conditions.
Details
- Trainer: Archie Watson
- RTF: 53%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Interesting; fair value threat.
Details
- Trainer: Jamie Osborne
- RTF: 58%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Experience counts; fair for third.
Details
- Trainer: Michael Dods
- RTF: 45%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
AF despite high book; prior AW win suits.
Details
- Trainer: James Owen
- RTF: 59%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
C&D winner; fair value, strong second.
Details
- Trainer: James Horton
- RTF: 50%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Below fair but consistent enough for place shout.
Details
- Trainer: Craig Lidster
- RTF: 60%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Last-time winner; AF and ticks boxes.
Details
- Trainer: M & D Easterby
- RTF: 54%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Fair value; strong place claims.
Details
- Trainer: David Thompson
- RTF: 14%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Below fair; included on profile/forecast.
Details
- Trainer: James Owen
- RTF: 59%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Perfect yard switch so far; AF value and ideal profile.
Details
- Trainer: David Thompson
- RTF: 14%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Three-time C&D winner; fair value.
Details
- Trainer: Roger Fell
- RTF: 67%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Credible third pick; fair metrics.
Details
- Trainer: Alan Brown
- RTF: 33%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Seeking third C&D win; AF value despite elevated book.
Details
- Trainer: Antony Brittain
- RTF: 29%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
In form here; fair value.
Details
- Trainer: M & D Easterby
- RTF: 54%
- Score: … / 20
Analysis
Below fair; included for completeness.