Bet Smart & Win — Wolverhampton 19/10/25

Bet Smart & Win — Wolverhampton Race Preview

Monday 20 October 2025 • 8 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race

Methodology & Performance

How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge

At Bet Smart & Win we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them. We look for True Market Value and only place bets when our Strict Criteria are met. On recent form, our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers delivered ROI: 92.3% and Strike Rate: 27.2% (Sep ’25).

These ROI and Strike Rate figures come from our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.

How We Pick Winners

Our subscribers work from a strict set of criteria refined over months. We use statistical and performance analysis, then apply our in-house strategy to confirm value.

  • Gold Tiers: meet every benchmark — strongest, data-backed picks.
  • Silver Tiers: marginal misses on one–two metrics but still strong value.
  • Reviews: daily, spotlighting true handicapper oversights.

This structured, data-led approach ensures complete transparency and a consistent edge.

Download The Raceday Ready App Apprentice Handicap — 4:55
Wolverhampton (AW) • 11 runners • Standard
R1 Cl6 111%
#1 Diligent Henry
Form: 75414
Jack Doughty AF
NP
31%
IP
29%
Details
  • J: Jack Doughty
  • T: Jessica Macey
  • Trip: 7f36y
  • Trainer RTF%: 67%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Recent C&D winner; model shows Above Fair value.

#7 Beautiful Dawn
Form: 33404
Mason Paetel F
NP
23%
IP
23%
Details
  • J: Mason Paetel
  • T: James Owen
  • Trip: 7f36y
  • Trainer RTF%: 56%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Consistent; rated Fair value in a competitive heat.

#5 Bossy Parker
Form: 44852
Matthew Lloyd Slater AF
NP
15%
IP
13%
Details
  • J: Matthew Lloyd Slater
  • T: Stella Barclay
  • Trip: 7f36y
  • Trainer RTF%: 36%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Place claims; Above Fair on our numbers.

ARC All-Weather £1Million Bonus Returns Handicap — 5:30
Wolverhampton (AW) • 10 runners • Standard
R2 Cl6 109%
#9 Mwafaq
Form: 60135
Ethan Tindall AF
NP
28%
IP
22%
Details
  • J: Ethan Tindall
  • T: Richard Fahey
  • Trip: 7f36y
  • Trainer RTF%: 48%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Strong C&D credentials; significant Above Fair value.

#1 Penelope Valentine
Form: 14333
Luke Morris F
NP
22%
IP
20%
Details
  • J: Luke Morris
  • T: James Owen
  • Trip: 7f36y
  • Trainer RTF%: 56%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Major player; current pricing reads Fair.

#3 Groundsman
Form: 65134
Billy Loughnane AF
NP
14%
IP
13%
Details
  • J: Billy Loughnane
  • T: Mark Loughnane
  • Trip: 7f36y
  • Trainer RTF%: 36%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Key danger; Above Fair on our tissue.

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands C & D) (GBB) — 6:00
Wolverhampton (AW) • 7 runners • Standard
R3 Cl5 107%
#1 Visually
Form: 12
Billy Loughnane BF
NP
55%
IP
60%
Details
  • J: Billy Loughnane
  • T: Clive Cox
  • Trip: 5f21y
  • Trainer RTF%: 42%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Standout on form but Below Fair price; caution for win bets.

#4 Naana’s Shadow
Form: 7222
Hollie Doyle F
NP
25%
IP
25%
Details
  • J: Hollie Doyle
  • T: Alice Haynes
  • Trip: 5f21y
  • Trainer RTF%: 20%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Main danger; Fair value.

#5 Perineighs
Form: 4942
Dale Swift F
NP
12%
IP
11%
Details
  • J: Dale Swift
  • T: Seb Spencer
  • Trip: 5f21y
  • Trainer RTF%: 40%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Respected; Fair value angle.

Hotel & Conferencing At Wolverhampton Racecourse EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB) — 6:30
Wolverhampton (AW) • 9 runners • Standard
R4 Cl5 110%
#4 Noble Vow
Form: 3432
Sean Levey F
NP
28%
IP
27%
Details
  • J: Sean Levey
  • T: Richard Hannon
  • Trip: 6f20y
  • Trainer RTF%: 53%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Solid claims; priced about right.

#3 High Approval
Form: 32662
James Doyle AF
NP
25%
IP
20%
Details
  • J: James Doyle
  • T: Hamad Al Jehani
  • Trip: 6f20y
  • Trainer RTF%: 83%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Strong form claims; Above Fair on the model.

#7 Return Of The Gods
Form: 32
Callum Rodriguez AF
NP
20%
IP
17%
Details
  • J: Callum Rodriguez
  • T: Edward Bethell
  • Trip: 6f20y
  • Trainer RTF%: 30%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Open to progress; Above Fair price.

Stay At The Wolverhampton Holiday Inn Handicap — 7:00
Wolverhampton (AW) • 8 runners • Standard
R5 Cl6 108%
#3 Trojan Truth
Form: 11152
Luke Morris AF
NP
28%
IP
22%
Details
  • J: Luke Morris
  • T: Ed de Giles
  • Trip: 1m5f219y
  • Trainer RTF%: 0%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Consistent, stays well; Above Fair on figures.

#8 Khangai
Form: 25123
Paddy Bradley AF
NP
18%
IP
13%
Details
  • J: Paddy Bradley
  • T: Patrick Morris
  • Trip: 1m5f219y
  • Trainer RTF%: 17%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Solid contender; Above Fair margins.

#1 Kokinelli
Form: 46514
TBC F
NP
22%
IP
20%
Details
  • J: (not provided)
  • T: Hugo Palmer
  • Trip: 1m5f219y
  • Trainer RTF%: 38%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Key player; pricing roughly Fair.

ARC £1Million Bonus Has £150K Increase! Handicap — 7:30
Wolverhampton (AW) • 9 runners • Standard
R6 Cl5 109%
#2 Ziggy’s Condor
Form: 05624
Ethan Tindall AF
NP
26%
IP
22%
Details
  • J: Ethan Tindall
  • T: Richard Fahey
  • Trip: 6f20y
  • Trainer RTF%: 48%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Ready to strike; Above Fair.

#1 Scarboroughwarning
Form: 52904
Luke Morris F
NP
25%
IP
25%
Details
  • J: Luke Morris
  • T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
  • Trip: 6f20y
  • Trainer RTF%: 20%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Class drop helps; Fair value.

#5 Blue Anthem
Form: 12564
Billy Loughnane AF
NP
16%
IP
13%
Details
  • J: Billy Loughnane
  • T: George Boughey
  • Trip: 6f20y
  • Trainer RTF%: 69%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Respected; Above Fair on our tissue.

Play At The Races StableDuel Handicap — 8:00
Wolverhampton (AW) • 10 runners • Standard
R7 Cl6 110%
#2 Echo Of Glory
Form: 74256
Billy Loughnane AF
NP
22%
IP
20%
Details
  • J: Billy Loughnane
  • T: Daniel & Claire Kubler
  • Trip: 1m142y
  • Trainer RTF%: 67%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Capable of bouncing back; Above Fair.

#3 Suzuka
Form: 43325
Ray Dawson F
NP
25%
IP
25%
Details
  • J: Ray Dawson
  • T: Roger Varian
  • Trip: 1m142y
  • Trainer RTF%: 57%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Obvious form pick; Fair value.

#1 Lord Capulet
Form: 40764
Tom Eaves F
NP
17%
IP
17%
Details
  • J: Tom Eaves
  • T: Kevin Ryan
  • Trip: 1m142y
  • Trainer RTF%: 43%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Solid contender; Fair price.

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap — 8:30
Wolverhampton (AW) • 10 runners • Standard
R8 Cl6 111%
#8 Jimmy Mark
Form: 25226
Callum Hutchinson AF
NP
15%
IP
11%
Details
  • J: Callum Hutchinson
  • T: Stuart Kittow
  • Trip: 1m4f51y
  • Trainer RTF%: 29%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

First AW win looks within reach; Above Fair.

#1 Little Miss India
Form: 62814
Pat Cosgrave F
NP
31%
IP
31%
Details
  • J: Pat Cosgrave
  • T: James Owen
  • Trip: 1m4f51y
  • Trainer RTF%: 56%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Form horse; pricing looks Fair.

#10 Endofastorm
Form: 78481
Luke Morris AF
NP
12%
IP
9%
Details
  • J: Luke Morris
  • T: Joe Ponting
  • Trip: 1m4f51y
  • Trainer RTF%: 14%
  • Odds: (not provided)
Analysis

Offers bigger-price value; Above Fair.

Nap of the Meeting — Wolverhampton
Summary
NAP Cl6 109%
#9 Mwafaq (Form: 60135)
Ethan Tindall NAP AF
Analysis

Recent C&D win, trainer/jockey setup sound, and pricing projects as Above Fair on our model.

Value Guide: AF = Above Fair, F = Fair, BF = Below Fair.

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