Bet Smart & Win — Aintree Race Preview
Sunday 26 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Philip Armson
- T: Alan King
- Trip: 3m 149y
- Trainer RTF%: 38%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Top selection with a positive value assessment and strong ratings; stays well.
Details
- J: Peter Kavanagh
- T: Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith
- Trip: 3m 149y
- Trainer RTF%: 17%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Progressive sort stepping up in trip; looks well-treated.
Details
- J: Isabelle Ryder
- T: Jamie Snowden
- Trip: 3m 149y
- Trainer RTF%: 71%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Forecast favourite; commands respect from a powerful yard.
Details
- J: Harry Skelton
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 1m 7f 176y
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Arrives in excellent form; fair value profile.
Details
- J: Sean Houlihan
- T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
- Trip: 1m 7f 176y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Free-going front-runner who could be hard to catch.
Details
- J: Derek Fox
- T: Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore
- Trip: 1m 7f 176y
- Trainer RTF%: 61%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Joint-market leader bringing solid form to the table.
Details
- J: Sean Quinlan
- T: Nicky Richards
- Trip: 3m 210y
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Selected ahead of favourites on value; good reappearance record.
Details
- J: Sam Twiston-Davies
- T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
- Trip: 3m 210y
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Form horse and the one to beat.
Details
- J: Harry Skelton
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 3m 210y
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Classy but has a Below Fair value rating at current quotes.
Details
- J: Sam Twiston-Davies
- T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
- Trip: 2m 4f
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Well-bred with a point win; clear form pick.
Details
- J: Tom Bellamy
- T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
- Trip: 2m 4f
- Trainer RTF%: 54%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Best RPR in the field; offers value.
Details
- J: Harry Skelton
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 2m 4f
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Major player but has a Below Fair value rating.
Details
- J: Brian Hughes
- T: Donald McCain
- Trip: 2m 3f 200y
- Trainer RTF%: 38%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Phenomenal record in this specific race; value selection.
Details
- J: Sean Houlihan
- T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
- Trip: 2m 3f 200y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Forecast favourite; respected.
Details
- J: Sam Twiston-Davies
- T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
- Trip: 2m 3f 200y
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Classy operator but rated Below Fair on value.
Details
- J: Jonathan Burke
- T: Fergal O’Brien
- Trip: 2m 4f
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Selected to continue trainer’s superb record; fair value profile.
Details
- J: Harry Skelton
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 2m 4f
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Major danger from a powerful stable.
Details
- J: Brian Hughes
- T: Patrick Neville
- Trip: 2m 4f
- Trainer RTF%: 75%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Consistent and warrants consideration.
Details
- J: Bradley Harris
- T: Harriet Dickin
- Trip: 2m 209y
- Trainer RTF%: (not available)
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Benefit of experience and best RPR; value selection.
Details
- J: Jonathan Burke
- T: Fergal O’Brien
- Trip: 2m 209y
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Unexposed type from a top yard; big chance.
Details
- J: Harry Skelton
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 2m 209y
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Promising recruit; must be respected.
Analysis
Proven course form • Ideal race conditions • Positive Value Assessment • Strong historical performance in this specific race. Back with confidence.