Bet Smart & Win — Wexford Race Preview
Monday 27 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Conor Stone-Walsh
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 56%
- Odds: 9/4
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Bags of experience over hurdles; sets the standard with 118 rating. Knocking on the door with recent 2nd-place finishes [citation:6].
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: 11/4
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Half-brother to hurdles winners; green on debut but ran on strongly to win Punchestown bumper [citation:1][citation:6]. Could be hard to beat.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 64%
- Odds: 9/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Newcomer from top yard; worth checking for market strength. Jockey booking suggests confidence [citation:6].
Details
- J: Sean Flanagan
- T: Paul Nolan
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 38%
- Odds: 6/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Made good impression winning Cork maiden; Flat speed useful asset over this trip [citation:1][citation:6]. Locally trained and interesting back over hurdles.
Details
- J: Daniel King
- T: Denis Gerard Hogan
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: 100/30
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
2m maiden hurdle winner at Tramore; good 2m4f novice run latest. Drop in trip fine, player [citation:4].
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 64%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Below par in two starts since dominant Kilbeggan win in May, needs to rebound [citation:4]. Major player if ready on return.
Details
- J: Eoin Staples
- T: Jonathan Fogarty
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: N/A
- Odds: 5/2
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Strong favourite on appealing mark; comes off decent 2nd at Gowran. Eoin Staples takes off valuable 7lb [citation:6].
Details
- J: Mike O’Connor
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 64%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Relatively unexposed; should come on plenty for latest run at Gowran. Form of Killarney maiden hurdle has been boosted [citation:1][citation:6].
Details
- J: Carl Millar
- T: Cian Collins
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Consistent performer; enters calculations in competitive handicap. Should be involved late.
Details
- J: Danny Gilligan
- T: Cian Collins
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 7/4
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Point winner; tongue-tie deployed for better settling. Looks better than these if rebounding from Listowel disappointment [citation:1][citation:6].
Details
- J: J J Slevin
- T: Martin Brassil
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 25%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Full-brother to multiple Grade 1 winner Allaho; has more upside than most in this field [citation:6]. Respected.
Details
- J: Tiernan Power Roche
- T: Seamus Neville
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: N/A
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Benefit of two runs over hurdles; experience could prove valuable. Could get closer in this company [citation:6].
Details
- J: Michael Kenneally
- T: Declan Queally
- Trip: 2m7f
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Impressive chase debut at Galway; jumped very well throughout. Grade 2 hurdle winner respected despite class jump [citation:6][citation:7].
Details
- J: Paul Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m7f
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: 9/4
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Quality chase form without winning last season; no penalty to carry on return [citation:1]. Well treated on these terms.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m7f
- Trainer RTF%: 64%
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Drop in class from Grade 1 company; solid runs at Fairyhouse and Cheltenham. Player if ready on return [citation:7].
Details
- J: Paul Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: 9/4
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Mark of 145 warrants respect; form of two earlier chase runs makes good reading [citation:1]. Talented over hurdles; can win if jumping improves.
Details
- J: Cian Quirke
- T: Andrew Slattery
- Trip: 2m
- Trainer RTF%: 56%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Talented hurdler; showed future over fences when second on chasing debut at Gowran [citation:6]. Solid contender.
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Grade 3 winner over flights; sure to be well schooled for first chasing assignment [citation:6]. Serious rival.
Details
- J: Mr H C Swan
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Form of second place in Thurles bumper well franked; 7l ahead of Cheltenham winner Conman John at Punchestown [citation:1][citation:6][citation:8]. Standout form.
Details
- J: Mr P W Mullins
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: 5/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Makes Rules debut after point-to-point runner-up; from powerful Mullins stable. Sure to know his job [citation:6][citation:8].
Details
- J: Mr J L Gleeson
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m100y
- Trainer RTF%: 64%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Decent 4th on bumper debut at Listowel; can build on that with race fitness. Place chance for top yard [citation:6].
Analysis
Mark of 145 warrants plenty of respect in beginners chase company. Despite being pulled up last two starts, the form of his two earlier chase runs makes good reading and he has gone well fresh before [citation:6]. Elite jockey booking and top connections. Back with confidence.