Bet Smart & Win — Wolverhampton Race Preview
Tuesday 28 October 2025 • 8 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Ashley Lewis
- T: James Owen
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Market leader starting for new yard; potential for improvement.
Details
- J: Elizabeth Gale
- T: Tony Carroll
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Course and distance winner with useful apprentice allowance.
Details
- J: Matthew Lloyd Slater
- T: Tony Carroll
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: 8/1
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Joint-highest rated with form claims in weak race.
Details
- J: Jason Watson
- T: David O’Meara
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: 10/11
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Consistently placed and sets clear form standard.
Details
- J: Hollie Doyle
- T: Archie Watson
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 71%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
From powerful yard with potential to improve from debut run.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: Patrick Morris
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 22%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Arrives in good form and major player on latest second.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: George Boughey
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: 7/4
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Consistent with strong form claims though market suggests vulnerability.
Details
- J: Conor Orr
- T: Fionn McSharry
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 100%
- Odds: 11/4
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Unexposed over this trip with career-best effort last time; dangerous.
Details
- J: George Downing
- T: Ed Walker
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 39%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Consistent type who should be in the mix.
Details
- J: Ray Dawson
- T: Roger Varian
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Strong finish over 5f last time; bred to appreciate step up in trip.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: George Boughey
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Course and distance winner who remains unexposed.
Details
- J: Tommie Jakes
- T: George Boughey
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Lightly raced and open to further progression.
Details
- J: P J McDonald
- T: William Haggas
- Trip: 2m120y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 11/8
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Clear form pick but short in market offering little value.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: Ian Williams
- Trip: 2m120y
- Trainer RTF%: 52%
- Odds: 11/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Previous C&D winner in good form back on dangerous mark.
Details
- J: Hollie Doyle
- T: Kevin Frost
- Trip: 2m120y
- Trainer RTF%: 25%
- Odds: 5/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Solid course form and must be respected.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: George Boughey
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Sets standard on form having placed in both starts; entitled to improve.
Details
- J: Toby Moore
- T: Charlie Appleby
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 100%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
From top yard with promising debut second reading well.
Details
- J: Ray Dawson
- T: Joseph Patrick O’Brien
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 53%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Showed promise on debut in Ireland; trainer/jockey combination strong.
Details
- J: Pat Cosgrave
- T: James Owen
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: 11/8
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Form pick but short in the betting.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: Hugo Palmer
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: 11/4
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Previous C&D winner in good form now 2lb below last winning mark.
Details
- J: Cara Tuke
- T: Iain Jardine
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 47%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Solid course form and should be involved.
Details
- J: Hollie Doyle
- T: Olly Murphy
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 82%
- Odds: 9/4
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Market leader with strong claims if reproducing best form.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: Ian Williams
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 52%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Bounced back to form with good second last time; well-weighted to capitalize.
Details
- J: P J McDonald
- T: Tom Tate
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 100%
- Odds: 9/2
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Consistent and should be in the firing line once again.
Analysis
Previous C&D winner, back to a winning mark, in-form trainer and jockey combination. This is my Nap of the Meeting — the “run-that-wins” scenario aligns strongest with the model. Back with confidence.