Bet Smart & Win — Leicester Race Preview
Tuesday 28 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Mr Jude Fernandes
- T: Jonjo & A J O’Neill
- Trip: 1m3f179y
- Trainer RTF%: 37%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Top of the betting forecast and meets our core criteria with a value assessment of Above Fair. The form of a close third last time out is solid for this level and the step up in trip on soft ground should suit.
Details
- J: Mr Henry Callan
- T: George Boughey
- Trip: 1m3f179y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Comes here off a recent win and the stable is in good form. The value is slightly Below Fair, but the horse’s progressive profile and low weight are significant positives.
Details
- J: Miss Amber Jackson-Fennell
- T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
- Trip: 1m3f179y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: 6/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Has shown ability in better races than this and is now dangerously well-handicapped. The Above Fair value and attractive odds make him a compelling each-way proposition.
Details
- J: Ben Sanderson
- T: Charles Hills
- Trip: 6f
- Trainer RTF%: 52%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
The betting favourite has the most experience and solid form, including a close second last time. The value is Below Fair, but his consistency and ability to handle the ground make him the one to beat.
Details
- J: Grace McEntee
- T: George Boughey
- Trip: 6f
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
A filly with a progressive profile, improving with each start. The value is slightly Below Fair, but she represents a powerful stable and is a clear threat to the favourite.
Details
- J: Kieran Shoemark
- T: Ed Walker
- Trip: 6f
- Trainer RTF%: 39%
- Odds: 100/30
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
The well-bred newcomer is the speculative selection for value hunters. With an Above Fair assessment, she represents the best value in the race if she can live up to her pedigree on debut.
Details
- J: Kieran O’Neill
- T: Denis Quinn
- Trip: 7f
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
The clear form pick after a decisive win last time out. While the value is Below Fair, his recent performance and the jockey booking make him the most likely winner.
Details
- J: Dylan Hogan
- T: Julia & Shelley Birkett
- Trip: 7f
- Trainer RTF%: 43%
- Odds: 9/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Shows an Above Fair value assessment and has been consistent in his recent efforts. He should handle the soft ground and represents a solid each-way alternative.
Details
- J: Kieran Shoemark
- T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
- Trip: 7f
- Trainer RTF%: 16%
- Odds: 11/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Consistent filly who is rarely far away. She possesses Above Fair value and the booking of a top professional jockey is a significant positive.
Details
- J: Cieren Fallon
- T: William Haggas
- Trip: 6f
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 5/4
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
The form pick has placed in two strong maidens and represents a top stable. The value is Below Fair, but his experience and proven ability on soft ground make him the logical selection.
Details
- J: Grace McEntee
- T: John Butler
- Trip: 6f
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: 66/1
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
A complete wildcard based on potential for significant value. The forecast odds are high, creating an Above Fair assessment for a newcomer from a capable yard.
Details
- J: Pierre-Louis Jamin
- T: Tom Dascombe
- Trip: 6f
- Trainer RTF%: 36%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Showed promise on debut and then backed it up with another solid effort. The value is Below Fair, but he has the experience to be a player if the favourite falters.
Details
- J: Kieran Shoemark
- T: Jim Boyle
- Trip: 7f
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Comes here off an excellent second over this course and distance. The value is Fair and that recent C&D form on soft ground is a compelling advantage.
Details
- J: Charles Bishop
- T: Eve Johnson Houghton
- Trip: 7f
- Trainer RTF%: 31%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Another with solid recent form, including a good third at Yarmouth. The value is slightly Below Fair, but he is consistent and deserves respect.
Details
- J: Lewis Edmunds
- T: Jennie Candlish
- Trip: 7f
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: 11/4
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
The betting forecast favourite has the highest official rating in the field. The value is Below Fair, but his class is a major factor if he puts his best foot forward.
Details
- J: Harry Davies
- T: Martyn Meade
- Trip: 1m53y
- Trainer RTF%: 0%
- Odds: 7/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
The model’s key value pick. His last run was full of promise and he is now on a dangerous mark. The Above Fair value assessment at attractive odds is exactly what we target.
Details
- J: Callum Rodriguez
- T: Edward Bethell
- Trip: 1m53y
- Trainer RTF%: 57%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
The betting forecast favourite is consistent and arrives in good form. The value is slightly Below Fair, but he is a proven performer at this level.
Details
- J: Sam Feilden
- T: John & Sean Quinn
- Trip: 1m53y
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: 9/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
A course and distance winner who thrives in soft conditions. She offers Above Fair value and her proven affinity for the track and going are major positives.
Details
- J: Lewis Edmunds
- T: Tim Easterby
- Trip: 5f
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Arrives in excellent form, winning two of his last three starts. The value is Fair and his recent win on soft ground makes him the one to beat.
Details
- J: Rob Hornby
- T: Charles Hills
- Trip: 5f
- Trainer RTF%: 52%
- Odds: 5/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
The market leader has strong form claims, including a good second last time. The value is Below Fair, but his consistency and high cruising speed are potent weapons.
Details
- J: Grace McEntee
- T: Phil McEntee
- Trip: 5f
- Trainer RTF%: 45%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
A course and distance winner who is dangerously well-handicapped on his best form. The value is slightly Below Fair, but his C&D record demands respect.
Analysis
The model’s key value pick. His last run was full of promise and he is now on a dangerous mark. The Above Fair value assessment at attractive odds is exactly what we target. This is my Nap of the Meeting — the “run-that-wins” scenario aligns strongest with the model. Back with confidence.