Bet Smart & Win — Clonmel Race Preview
Thursday 06 November 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Sean Flanagan
- T: Paul Nolan
- Trip: 2m 3f 134y
- Trainer RTF%: 41%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 108.8%
Analysis
Stays well on yielding/soft; solid hurdling profile; value Fair–Above Fair.
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m 3f 134y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 108.8%
Analysis
Powerful yard; step up in trip a plus; danger.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m 3f 134y
- Trainer RTF%: 72%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 108.8%
Analysis
Unexposed; yard flies in winter; each-way value.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m 157y
- Trainer RTF%: 72%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 107.8%
Analysis
Strong bumper form; most likely winner though price looks short (BF).
Details
- J: Keith Donoghue
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m 157y
- Trainer RTF%: 34%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 107.8%
Analysis
Stayer’s profile; main danger if jumping holds.
Details
- J: Phillip Enright
- T: Con McSweeney
- Trip: 2m 157y
- Trainer RTF%: —
- Odds: —
- Overround: 107.8%
Analysis
Front-runner; each-way shout at a price (AF).
Details
- J: Donagh Meyler
- T: Emmet Mullins
- Trip: 3m
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 109.5%
Analysis
Thriving stayer; potent late kick; the one to beat.
Details
- J: Philip Byrnes
- T: C Byrnes
- Trip: 3m
- Trainer RTF%: 78%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 109.5%
Analysis
Front-runner; main threat if dictating.
Details
- J: Alex Harvey
- T: John C McConnell
- Trip: 3m
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 109.5%
Analysis
Improver; each-way value with recent win.
Details
- J: Paul Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m 4f 171y
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 105.8%
Analysis
Class act; most likely winner though short (BF).
Details
- J: Mark Walsh
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m 4f 171y
- Trainer RTF%: 34%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 105.8%
Analysis
7lb helps; clear forecast pick.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: C O’Keeffe
- Trip: 2m 4f 171y
- Trainer RTF%: —
- Odds: —
- Overround: 105.8%
Analysis
Soft-ground player; outside chance if best form returns.
Details
- J: Paul Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m 4f 171y
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 103.9%
Analysis
Top-rated; should win despite slight BF read (price short).
Details
- J: Mark Walsh
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m 4f 171y
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 103.9%
Analysis
Danger if able to dictate; still BF at current quotes.
Details
- J: J J Slevin
- T: Thomas Gibney
- Trip: 2m 4f 171y
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 103.9%
Analysis
Consistent; forecast player if leaders underperform.
Details
- J: Anna McGuinness
- T: Anthony Mullins
- Trip: 2m 1f 50y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 113.5%
Analysis
Recent course win; mark workable; solid AF each-way.
Details
- J: Phillip Enright
- T: Robert Tyner
- Trip: 2m 1f 50y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 113.5%
Analysis
Arrives in form; a touch short on value (BF).
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: E F Gallagher
- Trip: 2m 1f 50y
- Trainer RTF%: 100%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 113.5%
Analysis
Consistent; solid each-way frame player.
Details
- J: Mr H C Swan
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m 157y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 106.8%
Analysis
Point/bumper winner; most likely but short at current prices (BF).
Details
- J: Mr D G Lavery
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m 157y
- Trainer RTF%: 34%
- Odds: —
- Overround: 106.8%
Analysis
Promising; main danger but a tad short (BF).
Details
- J: Mr Alan O’Sullivan
- T: Robert Murphy
- Trip: 2m 157y
- Trainer RTF%: —
- Odds: —
- Overround: 106.8%
Analysis
Experience edge; each-way squeak.
Analysis
Proven soft-ground course winner with a workable mark and 7lb claim; NP > IP value edge. Back with confidence.