Before You Dive In – Read This First
Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.
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Race Name: Download The Raceday Ready App Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap
Race Distance: 1m2f
Racecourse: Lingfield (AW) Polytrack
Time of Race: 4:50
First: Crafter
Age: 7
Weight: 11-0
Form: -84420 Consistent performances
Going: Standard
Jockey: Miss Tilly Evans
Trainer: Mark Loughnane
Trainer RTF% Form: 54%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 65
TS: 32
Probability: High
Second: Dubai Immo
Age: 6
Weight: 10-6
Form: 8350-1 Recent winner
Going: Standard
Jockey: Miss Ella Smart
Trainer: Paddy Butler
Trainer RTF% Form: 5%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 57
TS: 43
Probability: Moderate
Analysis: Crafter stands out due to his consistent form, with a recent second-place finish and a strong OR of 65. His TS of 32 and ability to perform on standard going make him a reliable choice. Dubai Immo’s recent win at 20 days ago boosts his credentials, but his lower OR and TS suggest he’s less likely to challenge for the top spot. Crafter’s trainer, Mark Loughnane, has a solid 54% RTF, adding confidence. The race’s competitive field sees Palazzo Persico and Beauld As Brass as threats, but Crafter’s metrics edge them out.
Scenario Analysis: If the track turns slower due to unexpected moisture, Dubai Immo’s stamina could close the gap. Crafter excels on standard surfaces, so any deviation might slightly reduce his edge.
Race Name: Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes
Race Distance: 7f1y
Racecourse: Lingfield (AW) Polytrack
Time of Race: 5:20
First: Annsar
Age: 3
Weight: 9-5
Form: 3-1 Recent winner
Going: Standard
Jockey: Dylan Hogan
Trainer: Jack Jones
Trainer RTF% Form: 78%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 71
TS: 58
Probability: Very High
Second: Cables Queen
Age: 4
Weight: 9-13
Form: 2-3 Consistent placer
Going: Standard
Jockey: William Carson
Trainer: James Owen
Trainer RTF% Form: 53%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Moderate
Analysis: Annsar’s recent win and high OR of 71 make her the standout. Her TS of 58 and trainer Jack Jones’ 78% RTF form suggest she’s in peak condition. Cables Queen, with consistent placings, is a strong contender for second, but her lack of an OR and TS data limits her winning potential. Grey Phoenix and Princess Pw could challenge, but Annsar’s metrics are superior. The standard going suits both horses, with Annsar’s youth and form giving her the edge.
Scenario Analysis: Wetter conditions could favor Cables Queen’s stamina, but Annsar’s speed should dominate on standard going. A faster track would further enhance Annsar’s chances.
Race Name: Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Fillies’ Handicap
Race Distance: 1m4f
Racecourse: Lingfield (AW) Polytrack
Time of Race: 5:50
First: Naasma
Age: 6
Weight: 9-9
Form: 317-32 Consistent placer
Going: Standard
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer: Pat Phelan
Trainer RTF% Form: 100%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 68
TS: 52
Probability: High
Second: Cerulean Summer
Age: 4
Weight: 9-5
Form: 334232 Consistent performances
Going: Standard
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer: Dylan Cunha
Trainer RTF% Form: 46%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 64
TS: 74
Probability: Moderate
Analysis: Naasma’s OR of 68 and recent placings, combined with Pat Phelan’s perfect 100% RTF, make her the top pick. Her TS of 52 is solid, and she’s proven on standard going. Cerulean Summer’s high TS of 74 and consistent form make her a strong second, but her lower OR suggests she’s less likely to win. Kinetic and Golden Dove are threats, but Naasma’s trainer form and course experience give her the edge.
Scenario Analysis: Softer conditions could benefit Cerulean Summer’s high TS, but Naasma’s consistency should hold on standard going. A firmer track would favor Naasma further.
Race Name: Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Maiden Stakes
Race Distance: 1m4f
Racecourse: Lingfield (AW) Polytrack
Time of Race: 6:20
First: Ghaiyya
Age: 3
Weight: 8-5
Form: 733-2 Improving form
Going: Standard
Jockey: Sean D Bowen
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 72
TS: 73
Probability: Very High
Second: Hatysa
Age: 3
Weight: 8-5
Form: 5- Potential to improve
Going: Standard
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Trainer RTF% Form: 59%
RTF’s: Limited Data
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Moderate
Analysis: Ghaiyya’s OR of 72 and TS of 73, paired with a recent second, make her the clear favorite. Charlie Johnston’s 43% RTF adds confidence. Hatysa, with limited form but trained by Andrew Balding (59% RTF), has potential to place. Al Wasl Storm and Rogue Impact lack the metrics to challenge Ghaiyya’s dominance. The standard going suits Ghaiyya’s proven form.
Scenario Analysis: Wetter conditions might slow Ghaiyya slightly, giving Hatysa a chance to close. A standard or faster track strongly favors Ghaiyya.
Race Name: Download The Racecourse App Raceday Ready Handicap
Race Distance: 5f6y
Racecourse: Lingfield (AW) Polytrack
Time of Race: 6:50
First: Spring
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 86914- Recent winner
Going: Standard
Jockey: Finley Marsh
Trainer: Richard Hughes
Trainer RTF% Form: 53%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 62
TS: 44
Probability: High
Second: She Went Whoosh
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 2-5245 Consistent placer
Going: Standard
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Trainer RTF% Form: 41%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: 57
Probability: Moderate
Analysis: Spring’s recent win and OR of 62 make her the top pick, with Richard Hughes’ 53% RTF adding reliability. Her TS of 44 is decent for this class. She Went Whoosh’s consistent placings and higher TS of 57 make her a strong second, but her OR of 60 suggests she’s less likely to win. Startling could challenge, but Spring’s form edges her out.
Scenario Analysis: A slower track could favor She Went Whoosh’s TS, but Spring’s form should hold on standard going. A faster surface would boost Spring’s chances.
Race Name: Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap
Race Distance: 1m1y
Racecourse: Lingfield (AW) Polytrack
Time of Race: 7:20
First: Newfangled
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
Form: 112-32 Consistent winner
Going: Standard
Jockey: Rob Hornby
Trainer: Jonathan Portman
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 64
TS: 61
Probability: Very High
Second: Raqraaq
Age: 7
Weight: 9-4
Form: 0083-1 Recent winner
Going: Standard
Jockey: David Probert
Trainer: Patrick Chamings
Trainer RTF% Form: 20%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: 66
Probability: Moderate
Analysis: Newfangled’s OR of 64 and consistent form, including two wins, make him the standout. His TS of 61 and Jonathan Portman’s 57% RTF bolster his case. Raqraaq’s recent win and TS of 66 make him a solid second, but his lower OR and trainer RTF suggest he’s less likely to win. Daisy Roots is a threat, but Newfangled’s metrics are superior.
Scenario Analysis: Softer going could favor Raqraaq’s stamina, but Newfangled’s consistency should shine on standard going. A firmer track would enhance Newfangled’s speed.
Race Name: Get Raceday Ready Handicap
Race Distance: 6f1y
Racecourse: Lingfield (AW) Polytrack
Time of Race: 7:50
First: Phoenix Moon
Age: 4
Weight: 9-3
Form: 51331- Recent winner
Going: Standard
Jockey: Tyler Heard
Trainer: Denis Coakley
Trainer RTF% Form: 50%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 56
TS: 61
Probability: High
Second: Big Bard
Age: 7
Weight: 9-8
Form: 586-15 Recent winner
Going: Standard
Jockey: Paddy Bradley
Trainer: Gary & Josh Moore
Trainer RTF% Form: 58%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 61
TS: 63
Probability: Moderate
Analysis: Phoenix Moon’s recent win and TS of 61, paired with Denis Coakley’s 50% RTF, make her the top pick. Her OR of 56 is competitive in this field. Big Bard’s higher OR of 61 and TS of 63 make him a strong second, but his inconsistent form slightly lowers his chances. Just Ten High could challenge, but Phoenix Moon’s recent success gives her the edge.
Scenario Analysis: Wetter conditions might favor Big Bard’s experience, but Phoenix Moon’s form should hold on standard going. A faster track would suit Phoenix Moon’s speed.
Best Value for Money Horse at Lingfield on 23rd April 2025
Out of my analysis for Lingfield, Newfangled shows the best value for money based on performance metrics:
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
Form: 112-32 (Consistent winner and placer)
OR: 64
TS: 61
RTF’s: Ran To Form
Form and Improvement: Newfangled has shown exceptional recent form with two wins and consistent placings, indicating strong potential for the 1m1y handicap. His OR of 64 is competitive, and his TS of 61 suggests he can handle the pace of this race. Trained by Jonathan Portman with a 57% RTF, Newfangled is likely to perform at his best.
Race Conditions: The standard going at Lingfield suits Newfangled’s proven form on Polytrack. His ability to perform consistently across similar conditions and distances adds to his value. The jockey, Rob Hornby, has a solid track record, further enhancing Newfangled’s prospects.
Summary: Newfangled presents the best value for money due to his balanced metrics, including a strong OR, competitive TS, and consistent form. His trainer’s high RTF and suitability to the race conditions make him a standout, offering excellent potential for a top finish despite not being the shortest-priced favorite.
Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Lingfield – 23rd April 2025
Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)
16:50 – Download The Raceday Ready App Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap
- Crafter (Probability: 80%)
- Joycean Way (Probability: 70%) [Flagged: <80%]
17:20 – Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes
- Annsar (Probability: 85%)
- Cables Queen (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]
17:50 – Get The Inside Track With raceday-ready.com Fillies’ Handicap
- Golden Dove (Probability: 82%)
- Cerulean Summer (Probability: 78%) [Flagged: <80%]
18:20 – Free Digital Racecard At raceday-ready.com Maiden Stakes
- Ghaiyya (Probability: 80%)
- Hatysa (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]
18:50 – Spring Cup
- Spring (Probability: 85%)
- Startling (Probability: 80%)
19:20 – Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap
- Raqraaq (Probability: 88%)
- Newfangled (Probability: 85%)
19:50 – Get Raceday Ready Handicap
- Big Bard (Probability: 80%)
- Just Ten High (Probability: 75%) [Flagged: <80%]
Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)
- Annsar – 17:20, Lingfield, (85%)
- Golden Dove – 17:50, Lingfield, (82%)
- Spring – 18:50, Lingfield, (85%)
- Raqraaq – 19:20, Lingfield, (88%)
Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown
Singles
- Annsar – 17:20, Lingfield
- Golden Dove – 17:50, Lingfield
- Spring – 18:50, Lingfield
- Raqraaq – 19:20, Lingfield
Doubles
- Annsar + Golden Dove
- Annsar + Spring
- Annsar + Raqraaq
- Golden Dove + Spring
- Golden Dove + Raqraaq
- Spring + Raqraaq
Trebles
- Annsar + Golden Dove + Spring
- Annsar + Golden Dove + Raqraaq
- Annsar + Spring + Raqraaq
- Golden Dove + Spring + Raqraaq
Four-Fold Accumulator
- Annsar + Golden Dove + Spring + Raqraaq
Key Insights
- Best Value Pick: Golden Dove (82%) –
- Highest Probability: Raqraaq (88%) –
- Alternative if Needed: Newfangled (85%) –
