Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap
Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Catterick
Time of Race: 2:00
First: Glory Fighter
Age: 9
Weight: 10-0
Form: 78-235 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Warren Fentiman
Trainer: Paul Midgley
Trainer RTF% Form: 41%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 65
TS: 68
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Fortunate Star
Age: 5
Weight: 9-8
Form: 2-2495 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Zak Wheatley
Trainer: Declan Carroll
Trainer RTF% Form: 50%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 59
TS: 67
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Glory Fighter has strong course and distance form, with a high RTF% and consistent speed figures. Fortunate Star is improving but may lack the tactical speed to challenge the favorite.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Glory Fighter’s advantage may diminish slightly, but his class should still prevail.

Race Name: Bet At racingtv.com Handicap
Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Catterick
Time of Race: 2:30
First: Lucius Aurelius
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
Form: 443-22 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 65
TS: 68
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Beaujolais Nouveau
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 35221 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: Ben Haslam
Trainer RTF% Form: 86%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 73
TS: 66
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Lucius Aurelius has shown progressive form and is well-weighted. Beaujolais Nouveau is consistent but may struggle to match the selection’s turn of foot.
Scenario Analysis: A faster pace could suit Beaujolais Nouveau, but Lucius Aurelius has the class to adapt.

Race Name: Download The Raceday Ready App Restricted Maiden Stakes
Race Distance: 1m4f13y
Racecourse: Catterick
Time of Race: 3:00
First: Belgravian
Age: 3
Weight: 8-10
Form: 7-4 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: P J McDonald
Trainer: Andrew Balding
Trainer RTF% Form: 59%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 14
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Tralee Girl
Age: 3
Weight: 8-3
Form: 23- (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Jay Mackay
Trainer: Michael Bell
Trainer RTF% Form: 42%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Belgravian has the highest TS and is trained by a top yard. Tralee Girl is unexposed but may lack the experience.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Tralee Girl could close the gap, but Belgravian’s stamina should see him home.

Race Name: EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes
Race Distance: 7f6y
Racecourse: Catterick
Time of Race: 3:32
First: Troia
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 14- (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer: Ed Walker
Trainer RTF% Form: 73%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 95
TS: 80
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Magna Grecia Star
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 31 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Rossa Ryan
Trainer: James Tate
Trainer RTF% Form: 47%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Troia is a class above with a high OR and TS. Magna Grecia Star is promising but may need more experience.
Scenario Analysis: Troia is the clear standout; only a significant change in conditions would alter the outcome.

Race Name: Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap
Race Distance: 7f6y
Racecourse: Catterick
Time of Race: 4:04
First: Red Mirage
Age: 7
Weight: 9-9
Form: 34538- (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: John & Sean Quinn
Trainer RTF% Form: 50%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 74
TS: 76
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Capital Guarantee
Age: 5
Weight: 9-4
Form: 99925- (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Daniel Tudhope
Trainer: David O’Meara
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 69
TS: 73
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Red Mirage has the highest OR and TS, with strong course form. Capital Guarantee is consistent but may lack the finishing kick.
Scenario Analysis: A slower pace could favor Capital Guarantee, but Red Mirage’s class should prevail.

Race Name: Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap
Race Distance: 1m4f13y
Racecourse: Catterick
Time of Race: 4:35
First: Magnetic North
Age: 10
Weight: 9-9
Form: 8640-2 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Conor Orr
Trainer: Rebecca Menzies
Trainer RTF% Form: 44%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 63
TS: 78
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Stellarmasterpiece
Age: 5
Weight: 9-6
Form: /313-1 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Aiden Brookes
Trainer: Micky Hammond
Trainer RTF% Form: 35%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: 62
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Magnetic North has the highest TS and is in form. Stellarmasterpiece is consistent but may lack the stamina.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Stellarmasterpiece could challenge, but Magnetic North’s experience should see him home.

Race Name: Northallerton Handicap
Race Distance: 5f212y
Racecourse: Catterick
Time of Race: 5:10
First: Protest Rally
Age: 5
Weight: 9-1
Form: 1228-2 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Billy Garritty
Trainer: Liam Bailey
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 67
TS: 75
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Sacred Falls
Age: 5
Weight: 9-2
Form: 2546-3 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good To Firm
Jockey: Jason Hart
Trainer: Katie Scott
Trainer RTF% Form: 71%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 68
TS: 83
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Protest Rally has strong recent form and a high RTF%. Sacred Falls is consistent but may lack the tactical speed.
Scenario Analysis: A faster pace could suit Sacred Falls, but Protest Rally’s form is hard to ignore.

Out of my analysis for Catterick on the 23rd of April 2025, this horse shows the best value for money based on Age, Weight, OR (Official Rating), TS (Top Speed), and RTF’s (Ran To Form):

Horse: Glory Fighter
Age: 9
Weight: 10-0
Form: 78-235 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 65
TS: 68
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: Glory Fighter has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making him a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit him, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.

In summary, Glory Fighter presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Catterick – 23rd April 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

14:00 – racingtv.com Apprentice Handicap (Class 6)

• Glory Fighter (70%)
• Birkenhead (65%) [Flagged: <80%]

14:30 – Bet At racingtv.com Handicap (Class 5)

• Lucius Aurelius (80%)
• Tees Aggregates (75%) [Flagged: <80%]

15:00 – Download The Raceday Ready App Restricted Maiden Stakes

• Tralee Girl (85%)
• Belgravian (80%)

15:32 – EBF Fillies’ Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

• Magna Grecia Star (82%)
• Animate (78%) [Flagged: <80%]

16:04 – Every Race Live On Racing TV Handicap (Class 5)

• Animate (85%)
• Another Baar (80%)

16:35 – Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Handicap (Class 6)

• Stellarmasterpiece (90%)
• Magnetic North (85%)

17:10 – Watch Racing TV Now Handicap (Class 5)

• Mojomaker (75%) [Flagged: <80%]
• Red Mirage (70%) [Flagged: <80%]

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. Stellarmasterpiece (16:35, Catterick, 90%)
2. Tralee Girl (15:00, Catterick, 85%)
3. Animate (16:04, Catterick, 85%)
4. Magna Grecia Star (15:32, Catterick, 82%)

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. Stellarmasterpiece (16:35, Catterick)
2. Tralee Girl (15:00, Catterick)
3. Animate (16:04, Catterick)
4. Magna Grecia Star (15:32, Catterick)

Doubles

1. Stellarmasterpiece + Tralee Girl
2. Stellarmasterpiece + Animate
3. Stellarmasterpiece + Magna Grecia Star
4. Tralee Girl + Animate
5. Tralee Girl + Magna Grecia Star
6. Animate + Magna Grecia Star

Trebles

1. Stellarmasterpiece + Tralee Girl + Animate
2. Stellarmasterpiece + Tralee Girl + Magna Grecia Star
3. Stellarmasterpiece + Animate + Magna Grecia Star
4. Tralee Girl + Animate + Magna Grecia Star

Four-Fold Accumulator

• Stellarmasterpiece + Tralee Girl + Animate + Magna Grecia Star

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Tralee Girl (85%) –
• Highest Probability: Stellarmasterpiece (90%) –
• Alternative if Needed: Lucius Aurelius (80%) –