Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Restricted Novice Stakes

Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 1:45
First: Buenos Dias
Age: 2
Weight: 9-5
Form: 12 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Egan
Trainer: Raphael E Freire
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 76
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Kanishka
Age: 2
Weight: 9-3
Form: 4 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good
Jockey: Ben Robinson
Trainer: Brian Ellison
Trainer RTF% Form: 47%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 63
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Buenos Dias has shown strong early form with a high Top Speed (76) and consistent performances. Kanishka is a solid contender with improvement expected. The going suits both, but Buenos Dias has the edge in speed.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Kanishka’s stamina could come into play, but Buenos Dias remains the favorite.

Race Name: Happy Birthday Andrew Hill Handicap

Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 2:15
First: South Parade
Age: 4
Weight: 9-4
Form: 13231 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer: Richard Fahey
Trainer RTF% Form: 37%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 75
TS: 80
Probability: First Horse Very High

Second: Brummell
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
Form: 33215 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Ryan Sexton
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Trainer RTF% Form: 36%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 78
TS: 75
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: South Parade has a strong recent record and high Top Speed (80). Brummell is a consistent performer but may struggle to match South Parade’s pace.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground firms up, South Parade’s speed will be even more decisive.

Race Name: Book Attraction Restaurant Online Restricted Novice Stakes

Race Distance: 1m1f207y
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 2:45
First: Cloth Of Gold
Age: 3
Weight: 9-5
Form: 223 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Joe Fanning
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 80
TS: 89
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Papa Mango
Age: 3
Weight: 9-5
Form: 2 (Promising debut)
Going: Good
Jockey: William Pyle
Trainer: David Loughnane
Trainer RTF% Form: 30%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Cloth Of Gold has the highest OR (80) and TS (89), making him the standout. Papa Mango is unexposed but lacks experience.
Scenario Analysis: If the distance tests stamina, Cloth Of Gold’s proven form gives him the edge.

Race Name: Alan McGuinness And Robin Lunness Memorial Handicap

Race Distance: 7f96y
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 3:15
First: Hyperchromatic
Age: 3
Weight: 9-8
Form: 3411 (Strong recent wins)
Going: Good
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer: Marco Botti
Trainer RTF% Form: 38%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 82
TS: 66
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Bowen Island
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 4435 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Tom Eaves
Trainer: Kevin Ryan
Trainer RTF% Form: 52%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 81
TS: 83
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Hyperchromatic has the highest OR (82) and recent wins. Bowen Island is consistent but may lack the finishing kick.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Hyperchromatic’s stamina will be key.

Race Name: Tyre Scope Handicap (Div I)

Race Distance: 1m100y
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 3:47
First: Two B Tanned
Age: 4
Weight: 9-0
Form: 300 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Joe Fanning
Trainer: Julie Camacho
Trainer RTF% Form: 36%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 51
TS: 65
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Mr Jetman
Age: 5
Weight: 9-3
Form: 0-732 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Dale Swift
Trainer: Seb Spencer
Trainer RTF% Form: 25%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 54
TS: 48
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Two B Tanned is improving and has a favorable weight. Mr Jetman is consistent but lacks a recent win.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Two B Tanned’s stamina could be decisive.

Race Name: Tyre Scope Handicap (Div II)

Race Distance: 1m100y
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 4:20
First: Hostelry
Age: 8
Weight: 9-6
Form: 647 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Kaiya Fraser
Trainer: Ruth Carr
Trainer RTF% Form: 48%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 57
TS: 54
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Alfie Boy
Age: 4
Weight: 9-6
Form: 7038 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Allan
Trainer: Tim Easterby
Trainer RTF% Form: 28%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 57
TS: 68
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Hostelry has experience and consistency. Alfie Boy is improving but lacks a recent win.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Hostelry’s experience will be key.

Race Name: Rapid Lad Handicap

Race Distance: 1m1f207y
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 4:55
First: Freddy Robinson
Age: 6
Weight: 9-1
Form: 223 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Ben Robinson
Trainer: Brian Ellison
Trainer RTF% Form: 47%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 62
TS: 69
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Sisterandbrother
Age: 7
Weight: 8-13
Form: 3160 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Paul Mulrennan
Trainer: Shaun Harris
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: 62
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Freddy Robinson has the highest OR (62) and consistent form. Sisterandbrother is improving but lacks recent wins.
Scenario Analysis: If the distance tests stamina, Freddy Robinson’s consistency will be key.

Race Name: Racing Again On Bank Holiday Monday Handicap

Race Distance: 1m1f207y
Racecourse: Beverley
Time of Race: 5:25
First: Salaria
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 55-252 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Harry Russell
Trainer: Ollie Pears
Trainer RTF% Form: 50%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 61
TS: 53
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Staffordshire
Age: 3
Weight: 9-6
Form: 4564 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Harry Davies
Trainer: Simon & Ed Crisford
Trainer RTF% Form: 73%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Salaria has consistent form and a slight edge in OR. Staffordshire is unexposed but lacks experience.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Salaria’s consistency will be key.

Best Value for Money Horse at Beverley (24th April 2025)

Out of my analysis for Beverley, Cloth Of Gold shows the best value for money based on:
Age: 3
Weight: 9-5
Form: 223 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 80
TS: 89
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: Cloth Of Gold has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making him a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit him, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.

In summary, Cloth Of Gold presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Beverley – 24th April 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

13:45 – IRE Incentive, It Pays To Buy Irish Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 5, 5f)

• Buenos Dias – 85%
• Going Commando – 78% [Flagged: <80%]

14:15 – Happy Birthday Andrew Hill Handicap (Class 4, 5f)

• Glorious Angel – 82%
• South Parade – 79% [Flagged: <80%]

14:45 – Book Attraction Restaurant Online Restricted Novice Stakes (Class 5, 1m2f)

• Papa Mango – 80%
• Spinning Wheel – 75% [Flagged: <80%]

15:15 – Alan McGuinness And Robin Lunness Memorial Handicap (Class 4, 7f 96y)

• Hyperchromatic – 83%
• Hot Property – 78% [Flagged: <80%]

15:47 – Handicap (Class 5, 1m 1f 207y)

• Mr Jetman – 81%
• Territorial Knight – 77% [Flagged: <80%]

16:20 – Tyre Scope Handicap (Div II) (Class 6, 1m½f)

• Toronto Raptor – 80%
• Ballsbridge – 76% [Flagged: <80%]

16:55 – Rapid Lad Handicap (Class 5, 1m 1f 207y)

• Mister Daydream – 84%
• Kaaress – 79% [Flagged: <80%]

17:25 – Staffordshire Handicap (Class 6, 1m 1f 207y)

• Staffordshire – 82%
• Right Now – 78% [Flagged: <80%]

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. Buenos Dias (13:45, Beverley, 85%)
2. Hyperchromatic (15:15, Beverley, 83%)
3. Mister Daydream (16:55, Beverley, 84%)
4. Staffordshire (17:25, Beverley, 82%)

Note: All selections meet the ≥80% threshold.

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. Buenos Dias (13:45, Beverley)
2. Hyperchromatic (15:15, Beverley)
3. Mister Daydream (16:55, Beverley)
4. Staffordshire (17:25, Beverley)

Doubles

1. Buenos Dias + Hyperchromatic
2. Buenos Dias + Mister Daydream
3. Buenos Dias + Staffordshire
4. Hyperchromatic + Mister Daydream
5. Hyperchromatic + Staffordshire
6. Mister Daydream + Staffordshire

Trebles

1. Buenos Dias + Hyperchromatic + Mister Daydream
2. Buenos Dias + Hyperchromatic + Staffordshire
3. Buenos Dias + Mister Daydream + Staffordshire
4. Hyperchromatic + Mister Daydream + Staffordshire

Four-Fold Accumulator

• Buenos Dias + Hyperchromatic + Mister Daydream + Staffordshire

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Buenos Dias (85%) –
• Highest Probability: Buenos Dias (85%) –
• Alternative if Needed: Papa Mango (14:45, Beverley, 80%) –