Bet Smart & Win — Catterick Race Preview
Tuesday 28 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Billy Garritty
- T: Michael & David Easterby
- Trip: 5f
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: 5/4
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Sets the standard with solid form and the highest normalized probability. The one to beat.
Details
- J: Jason Hart
- T: John & Sean Quinn
- Trip: 5f
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
A clear danger based on promising debut. Should be involved in the finish.
Details
- J: George Wood
- T: Robert Cowell
- Trip: 5f
- Trainer RTF%: 44%
- Odds: 11/2
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Offers value with his price exceeding his implied chance. Respectable each-way claims.
Details
- J: Billy Garritty
- T: Michael & David Easterby
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: 6/4
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
The form pick coming off a win and has the best value assessment. Leading contender.
Details
- J: Jason Hart
- T: David O’Meara
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: 9/4
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Respected and could improve for the step up in trip. Serious danger to the favourite.
Details
- J: Dougie Costello
- T: Jessica Bedi
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 60%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Completes the shortlist with a fair value profile. Could surprise if the principals falter.
Details
- J: Archie Young
- T: Edward Bethell
- Trip: 1m4f13y
- Trainer RTF%: 57%
- Odds: 7/4
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
The clear market leader with strong recent form. The one they all have to beat.
Details
- J: Mark Winn
- T: Martin Todhunter
- Trip: 1m4f13y
- Trainer RTF%: 80%
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Well-handicapped and has a good course record. Could spring a surprise.
Details
- J: David Allan
- T: Tim Easterby
- Trip: 1m4f13y
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: 9/4
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
A consistent sort who should handle the conditions. Cannot be discounted.
Details
- J: Archie Young
- T: Edward Bethell
- Trip: 7f6y
- Trainer RTF%: 57%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Arrives in top form and has a commanding profile. The one to beat.
Details
- J: William Pyle
- T: David & Nicola Barron
- Trip: 7f6y
- Trainer RTF%: 25%
- Odds: 100/30
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Has winning form on testing ground which is a major asset. Strong contender.
Details
- J: David Allan
- T: Tim Easterby
- Trip: 7f6y
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Another from the powerful Tim Easterby yard and cannot be discounted. Each-way value.
Details
- J: David Allan
- T: Tim Easterby
- Trip: 1m7f189y
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: 9/4
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Seeking a hat-trick and is the one to beat based on his upward trajectory. Top selection.
Details
- J: Shay Farmer
- T: Martin Todhunter
- Trip: 1m7f189y
- Trainer RTF%: 80%
- Odds: 11/4
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
A consistent performer who should be in the mix. Main danger to the favourite.
Details
- J: Gina Mangan
- T: John Berry
- Trip: 1m7f189y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: 5/1
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
A previous course winner and offers each-way value. Could surprise if returning to form.
Details
- J: Harrison Shaw
- T: Bryan Smart
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 5/2
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
The justified favourite and will be hard to catch if allowed an easy lead. Top pick.
Details
- J: Ethan Tindall
- T: Richard Fahey
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: 7/1
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Selected to challenge the favourite as he should relish the soft conditions. Value alternative.
Details
- J: Joanna Mason
- T: Ruth Carr
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Another with solid claims in a competitive heat. Should not be underestimated.
Details
- J: Dale Swift
- T: Seb Spencer
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: 11/4
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
A previous course and distance winner and is dangerously well-handicapped. Strong claims.
Details
- J: Duran Fentiman
- T: Tim Easterby
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Represents a yard in form and has solid each-way claims. Respected contender.
Details
- J: Zak Wheatley
- T: Declan Carroll
- Trip: 5f212y
- Trainer RTF%: 31%
- Odds: 7/1
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Arrives off a win and must be respected. Could outrun his odds.
Analysis
Course and distance winner, dangerously well-handicapped, top value assessment. Back with confidence.