Before You Dive In – Read This First
Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.
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Race Name: Bottlegreen Open Hunters’ Chase
Race Distance: 2m62y
Racecourse: Cheltenham
Time of Race: 4:35
First: Barton Snow
Age: 8
Weight: 12-1
Form: 41211 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: J J O’Shea
Trainer: Mr James King
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 122
TS: 99
Probability: First Horse High
Second: A Jet Of Our Own
Age: 8
Weight: 12-1
Form: 5PP25 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good
Jockey: Matt Sheppard
Trainer: Mr Frederick Philipson-Stow
Trainer RTF% Form: 15%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 127
TS: 113
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Barton Snow has been in excellent form, winning four of his last five races. His high OR and consistency make him the standout choice. A Jet Of Our Own has strong speed figures but has been inconsistent recently.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, A Jet Of Our Own’s stamina may come into play, but Barton Snow’s recent form should hold firm.
Race Name: Venatour Sports Travel Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters’ Chase
Race Distance: 3m2f
Racecourse: Cheltenham
Time of Race: 5:10
First: Clashhill
Age: 7
Weight: 11-12
Form: /1111 (Dominant recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: N R W Wright
Trainer: Mr Dale Peters
Trainer RTF% Form: 76%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: First Horse Very High
Second: Mumbo Jumbo
Age: 9
Weight: 11-12
Form: 21121 (Strong placed form)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Mrs G Andrews
Trainer: Miss Gina Andrews
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 113
TS: 83
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Clashhill is unbeaten in his last four starts and is the clear favorite. Mumbo Jumbo has been consistent but may lack the class to challenge the top pick.
Scenario Analysis: If the race becomes tactical, Mumbo Jumbo’s stamina could see him close the gap.
Race Name: Junior Jumpers Open Hunters’ Chase
Race Distance: 3m1f56y
Racecourse: Cheltenham
Time of Race: 5:45
First: Fairly Famous
Age: 8
Weight: 12-0
Form: 311P2 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: Mrs G Andrews
Trainer: Miss Gina Andrews
Trainer RTF% Form: 76%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 130
TS: 101
Probability: First Horse Very High
Second: Douglas Longbottom
Age: 7
Weight: 12-0
Form: /2111 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Miss B Coward
Trainer: Mr William Biddick
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 65
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Fairly Famous has the highest OR and TS in the field, making her the clear favorite. Douglas Longbottom is improving but may lack the class to win.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Douglas Longbottom’s stamina could see him challenge late.
Race Name: Jonathan Neesom Memorial Open Hunters’ Chase
Race Distance: 3m2f70y
Racecourse: Cheltenham
Time of Race: 6:20
First: Gracchus De Balme
Age: 9
Weight: 12-4
Form: 612P1 (Strong recent win)
Going: Good
Jockey: J J O’Shea
Trainer: Mr James King
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 134
TS: 118
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Music Drive
Age: 8
Weight: 11-12
Form: 9/114 (Improving form)
Going: Good
Jockey: Kelly Morgan
Trainer: Miss Gina Andrews
Trainer RTF% Form: 76%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 127
TS: 118
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Gracchus De Balme has the highest OR and a recent win, making him the top pick. Music Drive is improving but may need further to challenge.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Music Drive’s stamina could come into play.
Race Name: Cheltenham And South West Racing Club Mares’ Open Hunters’ Chase
Race Distance: 3m1f56y
Racecourse: Cheltenham
Time of Race: 6:55
First: Walkin Out
Age: 8
Weight: 11-8
Form: 11231 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: L Jefford
Trainer: Miss Anna Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 109
TS: 76
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Latenightfumble
Age: 10
Weight: 11-8
Form: /1P11/ (Strong recent form)
Going: Good to Soft
Jockey: Mrs G Andrews
Trainer: Miss Gina Andrews
Trainer RTF% Form: 76%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 110
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Walkin Out has been consistent and has the highest OR among the mares. Latenightfumble is a wildcard with strong recent form.
Scenario Analysis: If the race becomes tactical, Latenightfumble’s experience could see her challenge.
Race Name: Brooklands Watches Golden Miller Chronograph Open Hunters’ Chase
Race Distance: 4m97y
Racecourse: Cheltenham
Time of Race: 7:30
First: Law Of Gold
Age: 12
Weight: 11-12
Form: 52P21 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Kemp
Trainer: Mr Dale Peters
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 128
TS: 72
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Jeffery’s Cross
Age: 9
Weight: 12-1
Form: /3P41 (Improving form)
Going: Good
Jockey: Dan Skelton
Trainer: Mr Sean O’Connor
Trainer RTF% Form: 76%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 113
TS: 111
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Law Of Gold has the highest OR and is proven over this distance. Jeffery’s Cross is improving but may lack the stamina.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Jeffery’s Cross could challenge late.
Race Name: Royal Gloucestershire Hussars Open Hunters’ Chase
Race Distance: 2m4f127y
Racecourse: Cheltenham
Time of Race: 8:05
First: Take All
Age: 10
Weight: 12-1
Form: 215F1 (Strong recent win)
Going: Good
Jockey: M Osborne
Trainer: Mr Samuel Scott
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 130
TS: 109
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Jet Plane
Age: 9
Weight: 12-4
Form: U7132 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Dan Skelton
Trainer: Mr Jack Andrews
Trainer RTF% Form: 76%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 133
TS: 126
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Take All has strong recent form and a high OR. Jet Plane is consistent but may need further to win.
Scenario Analysis: If the race is run at a strong pace, Jet Plane’s stamina could see him challenge late.
Best Value for Money Horse at Cheltenham (02 May 2025)
Out of my analysis for Cheltenham, this horse shows the best value for money based on Age, Weight, OR, TS, and RTF’s:
Horse: Fairly Famous
Age: 8
Weight: 12-0
Form: 311P2 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 130
TS: 101
RTF’s: Ran To Form
Form and Improvement: Fairly Famous has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making her a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit her, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.
In summary, Fairly Famous presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.
Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Cheltenham – 02nd May 2025
Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)
Bottlegreen Open Hunters’ Chase (16:35)
- Barton Snow (85%)
- A Jet Of Our Own (70%) [Flagged: <80%]
Venatour Sports Travel Intermediate Point-To-Point Hunters’ Chase (17:10)
- Clashhill (80%)
- Crawter (75%) [Flagged: <80%]
Junior Jumpers Open Hunters’ Chase (17:45)
- Fairly Famous (78%) [Flagged: <80%]
- Snap Fish (70%) [Flagged: <80%]
Jonathan Neesom Memorial Open Hunters’ Chase (18:20)
- Gracchus De Balme (85%)
- Music Drive (80%)
Cheltenham And South West Racing Club Mares’ Open Hunters’ Chase (18:55)
- Cullin Hills (82%)
- Walkin Out (78%) [Flagged: <80%]
Brooklands Watches Golden Miller Chronograph Open Hunters’ Chase (19:30)
- Jeffery’s Cross (80%)
- Amrons Sage (75%) [Flagged: <80%]
Royal Gloucestershire Hussars Open Hunters’ Chase (20:05)
- Jet Plane (85%)
- Rebel Dawn Rising (80%)
Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)
- Barton Snow – 16:35, Cheltenham, (85%)
- Gracchus De Balme – 18:20, Cheltenham, (85%)
- Cullin Hills – 18:55, Cheltenham, (82%)
- Jet Plane – 20:05, Cheltenham, (85%)
Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown
Singles
- Barton Snow – 16:35, Cheltenham
- Gracchus De Balme – 18:20, Cheltenham
- Cullin Hills – 18:55, Cheltenham
- Jet Plane – 20:05, Cheltenham
Doubles
- Barton Snow + Gracchus De Balme
- Barton Snow + Cullin Hills
- Barton Snow + Jet Plane
- Gracchus De Balme + Cullin Hills
- Gracchus De Balme + Jet Plane
- Cullin Hills + Jet Plane
Trebles
- Barton Snow + Gracchus De Balme + Cullin Hills
- Barton Snow + Gracchus De Balme + Jet Plane
- Barton Snow + Cullin Hills + Jet Plane
- Gracchus De Balme + Cullin Hills + Jet Plane
Four-Fold Accumulator
- Barton Snow + Gracchus De Balme + Cullin Hills + Jet Plane
Key Insights
- Best Value Pick: Cullin Hills (82%) –
- Highest Probability: Barton Snow (85%) –
- Alternative if Needed: Music Drive (80%) –
