Bet Smart & Win — Clonmel Race Preview
Thursday 23 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Cian Cullinan
- T: Eddie & Patrick Harty
- Trip: 2m205y
- Trainer RTF%: 89%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Clear standout on form and class; most probable winner on the model.
Details
- J: Keith Donoghue
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m205y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Sets a solid standard for the places; reliable profile.
Details
- J: Simon Torrens
- T: P J Rothwell
- Trip: 2m205y
- Trainer RTF%: 35%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Value alternative for the forecast on adjusted probabilities.
Details
- J: Mr J H Williamson
- T: Charles O’Brien
- Trip: 2m205y
- Trainer RTF%: 25%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 114%
Analysis
Form pick; positive value assessment from the model.
Details
- J: Mr Derek O’Connor
- T: Andrew McNamara
- Trip: 2m205y
- Trainer RTF%: 14%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 114%
Analysis
Consistent type who fits the profile; solid place claims.
Details
- J: Mr D Doyle
- T: Kieran Purcell
- Trip: 2m205y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 114%
Analysis
Interesting at a price after a recent win; place squeak.
Details
- J: Mr H C Swan
- T: Denis Gerard Hogan
- Trip: 2m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Best form credentials and positive value; the one to beat.
Details
- J: Keith Donoghue
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Powerful stable; clear threat on figures.
Details
- J: Alix Balfe
- T: Francis Casey
- Trip: 2m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 100%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Unexposed mare from an in-form yard; place potential.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy
- Trip: 2m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Form selection and market leader; sets the standard.
Details
- J: Sean Flanagan
- T: John Joseph Hanlon
- Trip: 2m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Value angle on adjusted probabilities; solid contender.
Details
- J: Dylan Kidd
- T: John C McConnell
- Trip: 2m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 30%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Well-treated at best; competitive if reproducing peak efforts.
Details
- J: Mark Walsh
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m2f146y
- Trainer RTF%: 69%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Grade 2 winner; clear class advantage; justified favourite.
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m2f146y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Major threat from a powerful operation; strong on figures.
Details
- J: Brian Hayes
- T: Andrew McNamara
- Trip: 2m2f146y
- Trainer RTF%: 14%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Consistent mare; respected for minor honours.
Details
- J: Donagh Meyler
- T: James M Barcoe
- Trip: 2m4f219y
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Recent course winner and form pick; must back up that effort.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy
- Trip: 2m4f219y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Model’s value selection; thriving since recent win.
Details
- J: Simon Torrens
- T: P J Rothwell
- Trip: 2m4f219y
- Trainer RTF%: 35%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Each-way claims in an open contest.
Details
- J: Keith Donoghue
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m4f219y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Highest-rated; justified market leader; should go close.
Details
- J: Darragh O’Keeffe
- T: Eamonn Francis Gallagher
- Trip: 2m4f219y
- Trainer RTF%: 100%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Potentially well-handicapped; represents value.
Details
- J: Conor Stone-Walsh
- T: Noel C Kelly
- Trip: 2m4f219y
- Trainer RTF%: 13%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Player if building on recent fifth; each-way interest.
Analysis
Strong form and class edge; conditions suit; model’s most probable winner. Back with confidence.