Bet Smart & Win — Ffos Las Race Preview
Tuesday 28 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Ben Jones
- T: Ben Pauling
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 60%
- Odds: 5/2
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Clear form pick and market leader; fits ideal profile with positive value.
Details
- J: Harry Skelton
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 43%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Shown promise and Skelton combination potent; solid contender.
Details
- J: Sean Bowen
- T: Olly Murphy
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 82%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Represents stable in form and well-fancied in betting; main danger.
Details
- J: Sean Houlihan
- T: Philip Hobbs & Johnson White
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 56%
- Odds: 2/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Point/bumper winner with significant potential; shows positive value.
Details
- J: Sean Bowen
- T: Olly Murphy
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 82%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Powerful connections and shown ability; represents main danger.
Details
- J: Harry Skelton
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 43%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Strong connections and proven ability; completes shortlist.
Details
- J: Kevin Brogan
- T: Toby Lawes
- Trip: 1m7f182y
- Trainer RTF%: 0%
- Odds: 7/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Shaped well on handicap debut; offers potential value against favourite.
Details
- J: James Bowen
- T: Alison Thorpe
- Trip: 1m7f182y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Justified favourite but carries penalty; strong claims.
Details
- J: Joe Anderson
- T: Grace Harris
- Trip: 1m7f182y
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Course and distance winner; demands respect in competitive field.
Details
- J: Sam Twiston-Davies
- T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
- Trip: 3m1f60y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Unexposed chasing debutant with significant potential; shows positive value.
Details
- J: James Bowen
- T: Mickey Bowen
- Trip: 3m1f60y
- Trainer RTF%: 54%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Solid form claims and represents in-form yard; main danger.
Details
- J: Conor O’Farrell
- T: Kerry Lee
- Trip: 3m1f60y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 13/2
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Another from yard in form; can be involved at finish.
Details
- J: Conor O’Farrell
- T: Kerry Lee
- Trip: 2m3f83y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 6/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Potentially well-handicapped and shows positive value; model’s selection.
Details
- J: James Davies
- T: Nigel Hawke
- Trip: 2m3f83y
- Trainer RTF%: 0%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Classier, in-form favourite but has to defy penalty; respected.
Details
- J: Jonathan Burke
- T: Hughie Morrison
- Trip: 2m3f83y
- Trainer RTF%: 25%
- Odds: 9/2
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Course and distance winner; must be respected in competitive race.
Details
- J: James Best
- T: Harriet Dickin
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: 10/1
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Freshened up and shows positive value; could improve for longer trip.
Details
- J: Ben Poste
- T: Tom Symonds
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: 3/1
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
In-form favourite and the one to beat; strong claims.
Details
- J: Jamie Brace
- T: Rebecca Curtis
- Trip: 2m4f
- Trainer RTF%: 40%
- Odds: 7/1
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Represents yard in good form; key player in competitive handicap.
Details
- J: Freddie Keighley
- T: Paul Nicholls
- Trip: 1m7f182y
- Trainer RTF%: 70%
- Odds: 5/2
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Showed promise despite greenness and shows positive value; standout selection.
Details
- J: James Turner
- T: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
- Trip: 1m7f182y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: 7/2
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Best form on paper and major threat; strong contender.
Details
- J: Tristan Durrell
- T: Dan Skelton
- Trip: 1m7f182y
- Trainer RTF%: 43%
- Odds: 4/1
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Represents powerful yard and interesting newcomer; completes shortlist.
Analysis
Shaped well on handicap debut, shows positive value with NP higher than IP, potential for more improvement. Back with confidence.