Bet Smart & Win — Galway Race Preview
Sunday 26 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Sam Ewing
- T: Thomas Cooper
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Overwhelming favourite on NP. Handles trip/ground; clear top pick.
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 49%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Likeliest danger to the fav on figures.
Details
- J: Danny Gilligan
- T: Ross O’Sullivan
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Minor place claims in a small field.
Details
- J: Paul Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: 56%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Strong favourite on NP; top connections.
Details
- J: Daniel King
- T: Connor King
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: N/A
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Solid each-way profile at forecast.
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: 49%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Live outsider from a powerful yard.
Details
- J: Michael Kenneally
- T: John Patrick Ryan
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: 21%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Each-way angle; positive value.
Details
- J: Ben Harvey
- T: William Harvey
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: N/A
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Joint-favourite; fair price on NP vs IP.
Details
- J: Keith Donoghue
- T: Ian Patrick Donoghue
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: 21%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Market head; place player.
Details
- J: Michael Kenneally
- T: Declan Queally
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: 43%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Clear on NP; strong favourite.
Details
- J: Jack G Gilligan
- T: Paul John Gilligan
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: 20%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Second pick on the figures.
Details
- J: Simon Torrens
- T: Liz Doyle
- Trip: 2m6f111y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Value pick to challenge the principals.
Details
- J: Mr D L Queally
- T: Declan Queally
- Trip: 2m4f156y
- Trainer RTF%: 43%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Sets the standard; justified favourite on NP.
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m4f156y
- Trainer RTF%: 49%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Primary danger from a top yard.
Details
- J: Keith Donoghue
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m4f156y
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Completes the main trio; place claims.
Details
- J: Jack Kennedy
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m5f100y
- Trainer RTF%: 49%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Standout on bumper form; strong claims.
Details
- J: Daniel King
- T: Denis Gerard Hogan
- Trip: 2m5f100y
- Trainer RTF%: 45%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Main rival; solid form base.
Details
- J: Paul Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m5f100y
- Trainer RTF%: 56%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Powerful yard; must respect.
Details
- J: Simon Torrens
- T: Noel Meade
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Model nap on the day; NP>IP with fitness angle.
Details
- J: Patrick M O’Brien
- T: Henry De Bromhead
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 65%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Key contender from a top stable.
Details
- J: Sean Flanagan
- T: Stephen Gerard Carey
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: N/A
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
From the head of the market; place claims.
Details
- J: Miss J Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 56%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Narrow favourite; strong yard record in bumpers.
Details
- J: Ivan Ryan
- T: Noel Meade
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Experience edge; right in the mix.
Details
- J: Mr J M Halford
- T: Emmet Mullins
- Trip: 2m11y
- Trainer RTF%: 61%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Debut eyecatcher; solid place claims.
Analysis
Top of the market; NP (31%) > IP (29%); fit from recent run; trainer/jockey profile strong. Back with confidence.