Before You Dive In – Read This First

Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.

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Race Name: British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (Class 4)
Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Ripon
Time of Race: 4:00
First: Clear Force
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
Form: 13 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer: K R Burke
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 67
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Valor Spirit
Age: 2
Weight: 9-7
Form: 22 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer: Richard Fahey
Trainer RTF% Form: 36%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Clear Force has shown strong early form and benefits from a top trainer-jockey combination. Valor Spirit is unexposed but has potential.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Clear Force’s speed may still dominate, but Valor Spirit could close the gap if the race becomes tactical.

Race Name: Download The Raceday Ready App Restricted Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (Class 5)
Race Distance: 1m1f170y
Racecourse: Ripon
Time of Race: 4:35
First: Arkinthestars
Age: 3
Weight: 8-13
Form: 93-732 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer: K R Burke
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 73
TS: 52
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Sixteen One
Age: 3
Weight: 8-9
Form: 6-8324 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Jack Callan
Trainer: George Boughey
Trainer RTF% Form: 45%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 64
TS: 38
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Arkinthestars has the highest OR and consistent form. Sixteen One is improving but needs to step up.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Arkinthestars’ stamina will shine. Sixteen One could place if the leaders fade.

Race Name: Visit attheraces.com Handicap (Class 4)
Race Distance: 2m
Racecourse: Ripon
Time of Race: 5:05
First: Mr Hampstead
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
Form: 43003- (Needs to bounce back)
Going: Good
Jockey: Cieren Fallon
Trainer: Raphael E Freire
Trainer RTF% Form: 38%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 82
TS: 85
Probability: First Horse Moderate

Second: Artisan Dancer
Age: 5
Weight: 9-8
Form: 3056-2 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 79
TS: 49
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Mr Hampstead has the highest TS and OR but needs to regain form. Artisan Dancer is consistent and could capitalize.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is slow, Artisan Dancer’s stamina may prevail.

Race Name: M.C.H. Hutchinson Memorial Trophy Handicap (Class 2)
Race Distance: 1m4f10y
Racecourse: Ripon
Time of Race: 5:35
First: Touch The Moon
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
Form: 31-130 (Strong recent form)
Going: Good
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer: George Scott
Trainer RTF% Form: 17%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 91
TS: 78
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Cabrera
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
Form: 31226- (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Callum Rodriguez
Trainer: Edward Bethell
Trainer RTF% Form: 40%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 90
TS: 90
Probability: Second Horse High
Analysis: Touch The Moon has class and form, but Cabrera’s TS and consistency make this close.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Cabrera’s stamina may edge it.

Race Name: Ripon Silver Sprint Trophy Handicap (Class 2)
Race Distance: 5f
Racecourse: Ripon
Time of Race: 6:05
First: Tees Spirit
Age: 7
Weight: 9-9
Form: 0317-0 (Needs to bounce back)
Going: Good
Jockey: Harrison Shaw
Trainer: Adrian Nicholls
Trainer RTF% Form: 20%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 102
TS: 99
Probability: First Horse Moderate

Second: Vintage Clarets
Age: 6
Weight: 9-2
Form: 210-07 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Oisin Orr
Trainer: Richard Fahey
Trainer RTF% Form: 36%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 95
TS: 106
Probability: Second Horse High
Analysis: Tees Spirit has the highest OR but is inconsistent. Vintage Clarets’ TS suggests a strong run.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is fierce, Vintage Clarets could overtake late.

Race Name: Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Handicap (Class 4)
Race Distance: 1m
Racecourse: Ripon
Time of Race: 6:35
First: Urban Sprawl
Age: 5
Weight: 9-11
Form: 428214 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer: Charlie Johnston
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 82
TS: 75
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Pisanello
Age: 8
Weight: 9-8
Form: 0907-3 (Needs to bounce back)
Going: Good
Jockey: David Nolan
Trainer: David O’Meara
Trainer RTF% Form: 43%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 79
TS: 79
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Urban Sprawl is in form and well-weighted. Pisanello is experienced but inconsistent.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is slow, Pisanello’s tactical speed could help.

Race Name: Evening Racing On Friday 9th May Handicap (Class 5)
Race Distance: 6f
Racecourse: Ripon
Time of Race: 7:05
First: Invitorio
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 731-4 (Consistent)
Going: Good
Jockey: Clifford Lee
Trainer: K R Burke
Trainer RTF% Form: 57%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 75
TS: 58
Probability: First Horse High

Second: Ziggy’s Ariel
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 561-64 (Improving)
Going: Good
Jockey: Kieran O’Neill
Trainer: Alice Haynes
Trainer RTF% Form: 40%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 75
TS: 77
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Invitorio has the form and trainer stats. Ziggy’s Ariel’s TS suggests a strong challenge.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Ziggy’s Ariel’s stamina may come into play.

Out of my analysis for Ripon on the 26th of April 2025, this horse shows the best value for money based on Age, Weight, OR, TS, and RTF’s:

Horse: Touch The Moon
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
Form: 31-130 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: 91
TS: 78
RTF’s: Ran To Form

Form and Improvement: Touch The Moon has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making him a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit him, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.
In summary, Touch The Moon presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.

Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Ripon – 26th April 2025

Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)

4:00 – British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (5f, 2yo)

• Clear Force (91%)
• Valor Spirit (69%) [Flagged: <80%]

4:35 – Restricted Maiden Fillies’ Stakes (1m 1f 170y, 3-5yo)

• Arkinthestars (74%)
• Sixteen One (71%) [Flagged: <80%]

5:05 – Visit attheraces.com Handicap (2m, 4yo+)

• Artisan Dancer (82%)
• Surrey Belle (78%) [Flagged: <80%]

5:35 – M.C.H. Hutchinson Memorial Trophy Handicap (1m 4f, 4yo+)

• Knightswood (85%)
• Percy Shelley (83%)

6:05 – Ripon Silver Sprint Trophy Handicap (5f, 4yo+)

• [Data Unavailable]

6:35 – Watch Sky Sports Racing In HD Handicap (1m, 4yo+)

• [Data Unavailable]

7:05 – Evening Racing On Friday 9th May Handicap (6f, 3yo)

• Rogue Bullet (84%)
• Macedonian (84%)

Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)

1. Clear Force (4:00, Ripon, 91%)
2. Artisan Dancer (5:05, Ripon, 82%)
3. Knightswood (5:35, Ripon, 85%)
4. Rogue Bullet (7:05, Ripon, 84%)

Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown

Singles

1. Clear Force (4:00, Ripon)
2. Artisan Dancer (5:05, Ripon)
3. Knightswood (5:35, Ripon)
4. Rogue Bullet (7:05, Ripon)

Doubles

1. Clear Force + Artisan Dancer
2. Clear Force + Knightswood
3. Clear Force + Rogue Bullet
4. Artisan Dancer + Knightswood
5. Artisan Dancer + Rogue Bullet
6. Knightswood + Rogue Bullet

Trebles

1. Clear Force + Artisan Dancer + Knightswood
2. Clear Force + Artisan Dancer + Rogue Bullet
3. Clear Force + Knightswood + Rogue Bullet
4. Artisan Dancer + Knightswood + Rogue Bullet

Four-Fold Accumulator

• Clear Force + Artisan Dancer + Knightswood + Rogue Bullet

Key Insights

• Best Value Pick: Rogue Bullet (84%) –
• Highest Probability: Clear Force (91%) –
• Alternative if Needed: Knightswood (85%) –