Bet Smart & Win — Sligo Race Preview
Friday 24 October 2025 • 7 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Cian Cullinan
- T: P G Fahey
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Top pick off a positive hurdles debut; NP > IP indicates value despite short price.
Details
- J: Paul Townend
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Power yard/jockey; fair value with model support as clear second in.
Details
- J: Harry Sexton
- T: Adrian Sexton
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Meets floor criteria; marginal edge NP over IP makes for minor place interest.
Details
- J: Keith Donoghue
- T: Gavin Cromwell
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Forecast fav and model top; NP cushion over IP in a small field.
Details
- J: John Shinnick
- T: Mrs Lorna Fowler
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Clear second in; fair value on model.
Details
- J: Sam Ewing
- T: Gordon Elliott
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Solid place case with respected yard.
Details
- J: Sam Ewing
- T: D E Fitzgerald
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Fav on forecast and model; 10lb rise noted but form is holding up.
Details
- J: Phillip Enright
- T: Brendan Maurice Walsh
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Winning streak then blips; still fair on probabilities.
Details
- J: Philip Donovan
- T: M Flannery
- Trip: 2m1f112y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Third in a tight cluster; small NP edge keeps him in calculations.
Details
- J: Mr D Doyle
- T: W P Mullins
- Trip: 2m4f11y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Strong Mullins fav; model-positive with clear NP over IP.
Details
- J: Mr D M Russell
- T: Donncha Duggan
- Trip: 2m4f11y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Forecast second; fair on model with modest cushion.
Details
- J: Miss H Heffernan
- T: James Andrew Fahey
- Trip: 2m4f11y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Third in; marginal NP edge retains place claims.
Details
- J: Thomas O’Connor
- T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy
- Trip: 2m4f11y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Model standout; handles weight rise; NP suggests above-fair value.
Details
- J: John Shinnick
- T: Mrs Lorna Fowler
- Trip: 2m4f11y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Clear second pick; fair profile on adjusted probabilities.
Details
- J: Phillip Enright
- T: Mark Michael McNiff
- Trip: 2m4f11y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Third choice; fair value signal at forecast.
Details
- J: Simon Torrens
- T: John C McConnell
- Trip: 3m1f80y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Small field; clear model top with solid NP lead.
Details
- J: Mr P J O’Neill
- T: John F O’Neill
- Trip: 3m1f80y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
Second best; keeps the fav honest.
Details
- J: Sam Ewing
- T: Norman Lee
- Trip: 3m1f80y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 105%
Analysis
One of the outsiders; minor NP edge only.
Details
- J: Jordan Gainford
- T: Cian Collins
- Trip: 3m1f80y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Stays well; model has him joint top with NP>IP.
Details
- J: Cian Quirke
- T: Andrew Slattery
- Trip: 3m1f80y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Shares top billing on forecasts; fair value call.
Details
- J: Dylan Kidd
- T: John C McConnell
- Trip: 3m1f80y
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Third of joint favs in open handicap; NP/IP parity gives marginal lean.
Analysis
Clear forecast pick; model strongest NP edge in the card. Back with confidence.
Details
- Race: Sligo Races Vintage Friday Handicap Hurdle — 4:20
- Trip: 2m4f11y • Going: Good To Yielding
- Trainer RTF%: (not provided)
- Odds: (forecast, not provided)
- Overround: 108%