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🏇 How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
At Bet Smart & Win, our custom AI models don’t just pick horses — they break down each Bookmaker’s Overround to uncover the True Fair Market Value for every race.
🏁 Race Name: Claire Dyson Supporting Midlands Air Ambulance Selling Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m2f148y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 12:47
Runners: 6 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 5 | Overround: 111%
#1, Dickens (Form: 131122) — J: Luke Scott | T: Jennie Candlish | Trainer RTF%: 50 | NP: 42% | IP: 48%
Analysis: The clear favourite based on form and ratings, Dickens has the highest normalized probability in the field. The model indicates a Below Fair value assessment, but his superior form and consistency make him the most likely winner in this company.
#2, Mohawk Chief (Form: 213145) — J: Sean Bowen | T: Mickey Bowen | Trainer RTF%: 50 | NP: 22% | IP: 27%
Analysis: The second favourite possesses solid form and is partnered by a top jockey. His normalized probability is comfortably above his implied chance, representing Fair value and marking him as the primary danger.
#6, Sea Thrift (Form: 5-97236) — J: Robbie David | T: Daisy Hitchins | Trainer RTF%: 50 | NP: 12% | IP: 16%
Analysis: At a bigger price, Sea Thrift offers Above Fair value with his normalized probability exceeding his implied chance. He is preferred over the others to complete the frame in an open race for third.
🏁 Race Name: racingtv.com/freetrial Mares’ Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)
Race Distance: 2m6f7y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 1:17
Runners: 8 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 4 | Overround: 112%
#1, A Path To Ronda (Form: 14-5) — J: Gavin Sheehan | T: Jamie Snowden | Trainer RTF%: 62 | NP: 25% | IP: 27%
Analysis: A well-related sort making her hurdling debut for a powerful yard. The market favours her, and while the value is Below Fair, her potential is significant on this switch to obstacles.
#4, Followango (Form: 25224-7) — J: Isabel Williams | T: Evan Williams | Trainer RTF%: 32 | NP: 16% | IP: 18%
Analysis: Brings valuable hurdling experience and the best form credentials in the field. Her normalized probability offers Fair value, making her a solid each-way proposition and a likely contender.
#2, First Candidate (Form: F1-5) — J: Harry Skelton | T: Dan Skelton | Trainer RTF%: 47 | NP: 29% | IP: 33%
Analysis: The market leader has the strongest form claims based on her previous win. However, her value is rated Below Fair, meaning her price is short for what she has actually achieved so far.
🏁 Race Name: EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing Novices’ Hurdle (Div I)
Race Distance: 2m70y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 1:47
Runners: 14 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 3 | Overround: 113%
#9, Wandering Ego (Form: /321-65) — J: Sean Bowen | T: Olly Murphy | Trainer RTF%: 81 | NP: 20% | IP: 22%
Analysis: The form pick who has already achieved a good level of form over hurdles. He is the justified favourite and, while his value is Below Fair, his credentials are the strongest in a competitive heat.
#11, Brace For Landing (Form: 42-4) — J: Harry Skelton | T: Dan Skelton | Trainer RTF%: 47 | NP: 15% | IP: 16%
Analysis: An unexposed type from a top yard, he represents Fair value at his current odds. He is expected to improve for his previous run and poses a significant threat to the favourite.
#8, Park Talk (Form: 4221-35) — J: Jonathan Burke | T: Harry Derham | Trainer RTF%: 71 | NP: 12% | IP: 13%
Analysis: Comes into this with winning form and should not be underestimated. His normalized probability offers Fair value, making him a live player to hit the frame at a fair price.
🏁 Race Name: EBF And Charlie Longsdon Racing Novices’ Hurdle (Div II)
Race Distance: 2m70y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 2:17
Runners: 14 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 3 | Overround: 109%
#13, Taurus Bay (Form: 1-4) — J: Ben Jones | T: Ben Pauling | Trainer RTF%: 59 | NP: 31% | IP: 40%
Analysis: A point and bumper winner who sets the standard on form. Despite being a short-price favourite with Below Fair value, his profile is the most convincing for this assignment.
#6, Quaviste (Form: 10-5w1) — J: Harry Skelton | T: Dan Skelton | Trainer RTF%: 47 | NP: 23% | IP: 29%
Analysis: Another with winning bumper form who commands respect. His value is rated Below Fair, but his connections and profile suggest he is a major player.
#12, Precious Metal (Form: 217-4) — J: Brendan Powell | T: Henrietta Knight | Trainer RTF%: 25 | NP: 11% | IP: 13%
Analysis: A bumper winner who is open to improvement over hurdles. He offers Fair value and is selected to round out the placings ahead of the second favourite.
🏁 Race Name: Happy Birthday Samantha Borland Handicap Chase (GBB Race)
Race Distance: 2m3f98y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 2:47
Runners: 8 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 3 | Overround: 111%
#4, Range (Form: 7F432-8) — J: Dylan Johnston | T: Sam Thomas | Trainer RTF%: 100 | NP: 19% | IP: 22%
Analysis: The model identifies Range as offering Above Fair value. His running style suggests he can control this race from the front, and his current mark looks workable.
#1, Grandeur d’Ame (Form: 1520P-9) — J: Tom Bellamy | T: Alan King | Trainer RTF%: 50 | NP: 21% | IP: 25%
Analysis: The top-weight has an excellent record when fresh and is dangerous off this mark. His value is Fair, and he is a proven performer at this level.
#2, Be Aware (Form: /2388-6h1) — J: Harry Skelton | T: Dan Skelton | Trainer RTF%: 47 | NP: 22% | IP: 27%
Analysis: The market leader arrives in form but is priced with Below Fair value. He is respected but passed over for the win in favour of better-value rivals.
🏁 Race Name: Jumps Look Better On RacingTV Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m2f148y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 3:17
Runners: 12 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 5 | Overround: 112%
#2, Motazzen (Form: 4111-27) — J: Brendan Powell | T: Henrietta Knight | Trainer RTF%: 25 | NP: 29% | IP: 31%
Analysis: A progressive sort who ran well on his recent return. The favourite is narrowly Below Fair but his upward profile makes him the one to beat.
#10, One Last Glance (Form: 32142-8) — J: Freddie Mitchell | T: Tom Gretton | Trainer RTF%: 100 | NP: 11% | IP: 12%
Analysis: Offers solid Fair value at his current odds. He is consistent and arrives here off a handy mark, making him a strong candidate for a place.
#7, Soldier’s Leap (Form: 67223-5w2) — J: Jack Andrews | T: T Ellis | Trainer RTF%: 100 | NP: 13% | IP: 15%
Analysis: In good heart and another who represents Fair value. He is weighted to be competitive and should be involved in the finish.
🏁 Race Name: J.H. Rowe Memorial Handicap Chase
Race Distance: 2m6f125y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 3:47
Runners: 11 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 5 | Overround: 112%
#3, Onewayortother (Form: /333-67) — J: Tom Cannon | T: Toby Lawes | Trainer RTF%: 17 | NP: 14% | IP: 15%
Analysis: The selection is unexposed over this longer trip and appears well-handicapped. He represents solid Fair value and is taken to open his account over fences.
#7, Faitque de L’Isle (Form: 11-46110) — J: Miss Lucy Turner | T: James Evans | Trainer RTF%: 20 | NP: 24% | IP: 27%
Analysis: The market leader is in excellent form but is priced with Below Fair value. He is a clear danger but is vulnerable to a less-exposed rival.
#2, Joining Force (Form: /3623-6) — J: Jonathan Burke | T: Fergal O’Brien | Trainer RTF%: 46 | NP: 17% | IP: 20%
Analysis: Another key contender from a top yard, he offers Fair value and should appreciate the return to this longer distance.
🏁 Race Name: Charlotte Cole And Becky Rowland Memorial Fillies’ National Hunt Flat Race
Race Distance: 2m70y
Racecourse: Stratford
Time of Race: 4:17
Runners: 14 | Going: Good To Soft | Class: 5 | Overround: 114%
#2, Broken Vow (Form: N/A) — J: Sean Bowen | T: Olly Murphy | Trainer RTF%: 81 | NP: 20% | IP: 20%
Analysis: A flat-bred filly who may possess the speed to dominate. The favourite offers Fair value and is the most likely winner based on connections and pedigree.
#8, Graceful Glance (Form: N/A) — J: Ciaran Gethings | T: Jane Williams | Trainer RTF%: 33 | NP: 14% | IP: 15%
Analysis: Has a strong jumping pedigree and is respected. Her value is Fair and she is a clear danger to the selection.
#6, Doobeedee (Form: N/A) — J: Bryan Carver | T: Harry Fry | Trainer RTF%: 40 | NP: 13% | IP: 14%
Analysis: From a top yard and another with a compelling pedigree. She offers Fair value and is selected to complete the frame in a tricky concluding bumper.
🌟 Nap of the Meeting – Stratford
Horse: #3, Onewayortother (Form: /333-67)
Confidence Factors: Unexposed over the trip, well-handicapped, solid Fair value price, top jockey booking.
Race Conditions: Class 5 Handicap Chase over 2m6f125y on Good to Soft ground.
Summary: This is the Nap of the Meeting — the “run-that-wins” scenario aligns strongest with the model. Back with confidence.