The Handicapper Might Have Missed These — Sunday 19/10/25

Standfirst: Ireland looks the place to find lenient marks today, with the Munster National at Limerick and deep handicaps at Leopardstown hiding a couple that still look ahead of their marks. A pair at Kempton and Sedgefield also bring recent figures that outstrip current ratings.

French Dynamite — Limerick, 4:15 (Munster National) — 9/1 (10.0)
Came out of the Kerry National with a Racing Post Rating of 152 and lines up here from an OR 144 — effectively 8lb to the good on those figures. Stays well, handles a sound surface, and returns under near-identical conditions for a yard that targets this race. The assessor may not have fully absorbed that Listowel effort yet.

Sea Music — Limerick, 4:15 (Munster National) — 12/1 (13.0)
Another who looks under-assessed on recent evidence: carries an OR 137 yet brings an RPR 148 into this, a +11lb differential suggesting there’s still slack in the mark. Progressive staying profile and no issues with the ground; a solid each-way shape in a big handicap.

Jet Of Dreams — Kempton, 1:46 (Novices’ Handicap Hurdle) — 9/2 (5.5)
Won a Sedgefield handicap chase last time with an RPR 118 off a listed chase mark of 115 (+3lb to the good), and now switches back to hurdles from a lower OR 107. On pure numbers he’s 11lb below that latest performance level; same 2m trip and quick ground look ideal to cash in before the hurdlers’ figure catches up.

Bumpy Evans — Sedgefield, 4:06 (Durham National) — 13/8 (2.63)
Was surging towards a five-timer when falling two runs back and then posted an RPR 128 when scoring at Warwick, achieved off OR 115 — 13lb above the mark at the time. He goes here from OR 121 and stretches back out in trip; front-running style is a big plus round here if he gets into a rhythm.

Verdict: French Dynamite is the most persuasive “miss” on raw figures (+8lb vs current OR) at a workable price, while Sea Music rates the each-way alternative in the same race given his double-digit edge on recent RPRs. Odds sourced from public markets/forecasts and may change before the off.