How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
At Bet Smart & Win, our custom AI models don’t just pick horses — they break down each Bookmaker’s Overround to uncover the True Fair Market Value for every race.
🏇 Racing Again November 20th Beginners Chase
Race Distance: 2m2f66y
Racecourse: Thurles
Time of Race: 1:30
Runners: 11
Going: Good
Class: Not Specified
Overround: 111%
#9 Stoneyford Lady (Form: 4-89426tp) — J: Darragh O’Keeffe • T: Henry De Bromhead • Trainer RTF%: 64 • NP: 18% • IP: 23%
#2 Kotkito Bello (Form: 8-43935p) — J: Tiernan Power Roche • T: P J Rothwell • Trainer RTF%: 22 • NP: 15% • IP: 18%
#6 Menas Miracle (Form: -214726t) — J: Conor Stone-Walsh • T: Brendan Oliver Walsh • Trainer RTF%: — • NP: 15% • IP: 18%
Analysis: Stoneyford Lady is the clear market leader and receives significant trainer confidence. Kotkito Bello and Menas Miracle are joint-second favourites and their odds suggest a competitive profile for the places. The model identifies value in the favourite’s strong position.
🏇 Littleton Handicap Chase
Race Distance: 2m2f66y
Racecourse: Thurles
Time of Race: 2:00
Runners: 12
Going: Good
Class: Not Specified
Overround: 110%
#4 Kazakh d’Arthel (Form: UF-U415h) — J: Keith Donoghue • T: Gavin Cromwell • Trainer RTF%: 44 • NP: 25% • IP: 29%
#7 A Nod To Getaway (Form: 2154138v) — J: Darragh O’Keeffe • T: Paul O’Flynn • Trainer RTF%: — • NP: 15% • IP: 18%
#6 Howya Luveen (Form: 70F-137) — J: Danny Gilligan • T: Ross O’Sullivan • Trainer RTF%: 50 • NP: 12% • IP: 14%
Analysis: Kazakh d’Arthel is a strong favourite with a compelling profile following a recent win. A Nod To Getaway and Howya Luveen are next in the betting and represent the most likely dangers. The favourite’s normalized probability indicates a Fair Value assessment.
🏇 www.thurlesraces.ie Handicap Chase
Race Distance: 2m5f80y
Racecourse: Thurles
Time of Race: 2:30
Runners: 17
Going: Good
Class: Not Specified
Overround: 112%
#8 Volez Vous (Form: P011-26tp) — J: Benjamin P Kennedy • T: D Deacon • Trainer RTF%: 100 • NP: 24% • IP: 22%
#4 Due Course (Form: 0-95927tb) — J: Keith Donoghue • T: Gavin Cromwell • Trainer RTF%: 44 • NP: 15% • IP: 18%
#3 Smallcraftwarning (Form: 1373228t) — J: Eoin Staples • T: John Patrick Ryan • Trainer RTF%: 31 • NP: 14% • IP: 17%
Analysis: Volez Vous is the standout selection with an Above Fair value rating, as its normalized probability exceeds its implied probability. Due Course and Smallcraftwarning are prominent in the market and have the form to challenge for a place.
🏇 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m6f96y
Racecourse: Thurles
Time of Race: 3:00
Runners: 11
Going: Good
Class: Not Specified
Overround: 109%
#3 Found A Diamond (Form: 652-625) — J: Shane Markey • T: Ross O’Sullivan • Trainer RTF%: 50 • NP: 28% • IP: 36%
#2 Chisum (Form: 9-45) — J: Ben Harvey • T: Miss Natalia Lupini • Trainer RTF%: 60 • NP: 20% • IP: 25%
#7 Wartime Leader (Form: 2/3545) — J: Daniel King • T: Denis Gerard Hogan • Trainer RTF%: 28 • NP: 18% • IP: 22%
Analysis: Found A Diamond is a short-price favourite with a strong chance based on a recent second-place finish. Chisum and Wartime Leader are clear next-best in the betting. The favourite’s value is rated Below Fair given the market margin.
🏇 Ballagh Mares Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 2m4f
Racecourse: Thurles
Time of Race: 3:30
Runners: 12
Going: Good
Class: Not Specified
Overround: 111%
#8 Kilashee (Form: 35PU2110) — J: Daniel King • T: John Patrick Ryan • Trainer RTF%: 31 • NP: 21% • IP: 20%
#9 Imperial Miss (Form: U50424t) — J: Sean O’Keeffe • T: Thomas Gibney • Trainer RTF%: 50 • NP: 15% • IP: 17%
#5 Tir Og (Form: 2851124) — J: Calum Hogan • T: E Seymour • Trainer RTF%: 100 • NP: 15% • IP: 17%
Analysis: Kilashee is the marginal market leader and holds an Above Fair value rating. Imperial Miss and Tir Og are joint-second favourites and closely matched on form. Competitive field, but the model sides with the narrow favourite.
🏇 Two-Mile Borris Handicap Hurdle
Race Distance: 1m7f150y
Racecourse: Thurles
Time of Race: 4:00
Runners: 17
Going: Good
Class: Not Specified
Overround: 112%
#7 Inchiquin Maid (Form: 0292-26) — J: John Shinnick • T: Terence O’Brien • Trainer RTF%: 14 • NP: 25% • IP: 25%
#3 Midnight Eagle (Form: P086825) — J: Cian Cullinan • T: Aengus King • Trainer RTF%: 80 • NP: 14% • IP: 14%
#18 Destivelle (Form: 40-0036tv1) — J: Simon Torrens • T: Ciaran Murphy • Trainer RTF%: 43 • NP: 12% • IP: 13%
Analysis: Inchiquin Maid is a strong favourite and the model’s top pick, rated Fair Value. Midnight Eagle and Destivelle follow as most credible challengers.
🏇 Irish Stallion Farms EBF Auction Flat Race
Race Distance: 1m7f150y
Racecourse: Thurles
Time of Race: 4:34
Runners: 10
Going: Good
Class: Not Specified
Overround: 108%
#1 Garahon (Form: 0/2025) — J: Mr J L Gleeson • T: Emmet Mullins • Trainer RTF%: 47 • NP: 29% • IP: 33%
#2 Of Land And Sea (Form: —) — J: Mr P W Mullins • T: Ms Margaret Mullins • Trainer RTF%: — • NP: 23% • IP: 23%
#5 Mc Swagger (Form: 44) — J: Mr J H Williamson • T: Eoin Christopher McCarthy • Trainer RTF%: 64 • NP: 9% • IP: 9%
Analysis: Garahon is the experienced form pick and market leader. Of Land And Sea debuts for a respected yard, while Mc Swagger has place claims based on prior runs. The favourite is rated Below Fair.
🌟 Nap of the Meeting — Thurles
Horse: #7 Inchiquin Maid (Form: 0292-26)
Confidence Factors: Strong favourite; positive trainer/jockey combination; promising seasonal debut.
Race Conditions: Handicap Hurdle (0–100).
Summary: Inchiquin Maid is the AI’s Nap of the Meeting — the “run-that-wins” scenario aligns strongest with the model. Back with confidence.