Bet Smart & Win — Uttoxeter Race Preview
Sun 05/10/25 • 8 Race Card • 3 selections per race — In Order Of Highest Probability
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
Bet Smart & Win use a custom AI model to use the Bookmakers’ margin against them. Our AI model deducts their Margin (Overround) to leave us with Fair Market Value.
How We Pick Winners
- Overround 100–115% (green)
- Runners 8–12
- Value: AF (NP ≥ 27% AND NP > IP)
- Class: 5, 4 or 3
- Whitelist jockeys
- NP ≥ 27, IP < NP
Details
- Trainer: Dan Skelton
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Top of the betting forecast and strongest maiden form; stable in good order.
Details
- Trainer: Nigel & Willy Twiston-Davies
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Point ability; hurdles debut for a powerful yard; could outrun odds.
Details
- Trainer: Martin Keighley
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Improved for new yard last time; solid form claims.
Details
- Trainer: Dan Skelton
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Strong favourite off bumper form; fair value; the one to beat.
Details
- Trainer: Olly Murphy
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Point winner; promising hurdles debut; respected.
Details
- Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Some bumper ability; place squeak at a price.
Details
- Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Forecast favourite; consistent; model shows fair value.
Details
- Trainer: Olly Murphy
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Had excuses latest; can reverse form; solid each-way claims.
Details
- Trainer: Toby Lawes
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Consistent at this level; place claims.
Details
- Trainer: Dan Skelton
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Expensive Irish point winner; fair value; the one to beat.
Details
- Trainer: Mickey Bowen
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Yard in form; ability shown; should be in the mix.
Details
- Trainer: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 4
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Past winner; respected in a competitive small field.
Details
- Trainer: Stuart Edmunds
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 3
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Narrow favourite on ratings; fair value; significant potential as a chaser.
Details
- Trainer: Dan Skelton
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 3
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Likely to improve over fences; strong claims.
Details
- Trainer: Harry Derham
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 3
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Best of old form keeps him competitive; could challenge the top two.
Details
- Trainer: Jamie Snowden
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 3
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
C&D winner; lenient mark on old form; model indicates fair value.
Details
- Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 3
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Looked suited by longer trip; more to come.
Details
- Trainer: Dan Skelton
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 3
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Forecast fav and LTO winner; respected though model flags Below Fair value.
Details
- Trainer: Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Creditable recent C&D third; model shows Above Fair profile overall; gets the Nap vote.
Details
- Trainer: Toby Lawes
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
Consistent performer; should be in the firing line again.
Details
- Trainer: James Owen
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 110%
Analysis
C&D winner; handy mark; respected.
Details
- Trainer: Charles & Adam Pogson
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Highest NP; strong recent C&D; model indicates fair value.
Details
- Trainer: Barry Brennan
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Comes off a convincing win; effective on good going.
Details
- Trainer: Toby Lawes
- RTF: —%
- Class: Class 5
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Consistent in novice company; interesting on handicap debut; bred to stay.
Analysis
Above Fair value profile with ideal 110% book and recent C&D third. This is my Nap of the Meeting — the “run-that-wins” scenario aligns strongest with the model.