Bet Smart & Win — Wexford 26/10/25

Bet Smart & Win — Wexford Race Preview

Sunday 26 October 2025 • 8 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race

Methodology & Performance

How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge

The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.

At Bet Smart & Win, our custom AI models don’t just pick horses — they break down each Bookmaker’s Overround to uncover the True Fair Market Value for every race. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%

These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.

How We Pick Winners

Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.


How To Read the Format

We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.

The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.

Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.

When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Beginners Chase — 12:30
Wexford • 13 runners • Good To Yielding
R1 Cl– 108%
#10 Kilbarry Saint
Form: 44245-6
Alex Harvey AF
NP
25%
IP
22%
Details
  • J: Alex Harvey
  • T: C O’Keeffe
  • Trip: 2m3f130y
  • Trainer RTF%: —
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 108%
Analysis

Top forecast pick with solid form. Highest normalized probability indicates value; should handle the going and trip.

#4 Nowwhatdoyouthink
Form: 51-653
Liam Quinlan AF
NP
15%
IP
14%
Details
  • J: Liam Quinlan
  • T: Ray Hackett
  • Trip: 2m3f130y
  • Trainer RTF%: 25%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 108%
Analysis

Consistent; competitive rating and suitable running style for this contest.

#9 Jane Eire
Form: 9-38265
Jordan Gainford F
NP
8%
IP
9%
Details
  • J: Jordan Gainford
  • T: Henry De Bromhead
  • Trip: 2m3f130y
  • Trainer RTF%: 65%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 108%
Analysis

Strong connections; may outrun current odds in a competitive beginners chase.

Jim And Kay Whitty Memorial Handicap Chase — 13:05
Wexford • 12 runners • Good To Yielding
R2 Cl– 109%
#6 Battle Of Ridgeway
Form: P2-9137
Liam McKenna AF
NP
22%
IP
20%
Details
  • J: Liam McKenna
  • T: Martin Hassett
  • Trip: 2m3f130y
  • Trainer RTF%: 25%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 109%
Analysis

C&D winner; good third at Listowel off new mark; solid claims.

#4 Dark Note
Form: 7-12246
Cian Quirke AF
NP
18%
IP
17%
Details
  • J: Cian Quirke
  • T: Andrew Slattery
  • Trip: 2m3f130y
  • Trainer RTF%: 50%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 109%
Analysis

Consistent performer; strong recent form; competitive in this handicap.

#3 Nouvotic
Form: 14-3166
Darragh O’Keeffe F
NP
16%
IP
15%
Details
  • J: Darragh O’Keeffe
  • T: Henry De Bromhead
  • Trip: 2m3f130y
  • Trainer RTF%: 65%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 109%
Analysis

Represents powerful connections; recent form suggests readiness.

William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle — 13:40
Wexford • 13 runners • Good To Yielding
R3 Cl– 107%
#11 The Store Boy
Form: 35
Darragh O’Keeffe AF
NP
25%
IP
23%
Details
  • J: Darragh O’Keeffe
  • T: Henry De Bromhead
  • Trip: 2m145y
  • Trainer RTF%: 65%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 107%
Analysis

Strong form credentials; represents top connections; model top pick.

#5 King’s Bucks
Form: 12-45
Donagh Meyler AF
NP
18%
IP
17%
Details
  • J: Donagh Meyler
  • T: Henry De Bromhead
  • Trip: 2m145y
  • Trainer RTF%: 65%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 107%
Analysis

Stablemate with solid claims; recent runs show promise.

#1 Parnell Street
Form: 2-4135
Mr A P Ryan F
NP
16%
IP
15%
Details
  • J: Mr A P Ryan
  • T: Andrew Slattery
  • Trip: 2m145y
  • Trainer RTF%: 50%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 107%
Analysis

Consistent; should be in the mix and handles conditions.

William Hill Each Way Extra Challenge Series Maiden Hurdle — 14:14
Wexford • 13 runners • Good To Yielding
R4 Cl– 106%
#8 Jury Foreman
Form: 64
Sean O’Keeffe AF
NP
20%
IP
18%
Details
  • J: Sean O’Keeffe
  • T: Paul Nolan
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 38%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 106%
Analysis

Shaped as though this trip would suit at Listowel; retains faith.

#1 Open Secret
Form: 44
Jordan Gainford AF
NP
28%
IP
26%
Details
  • J: Jordan Gainford
  • T: Gordon Elliott
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 49%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 106%
Analysis

Forecast favourite with strong credentials; should improve for the trip.

#2 Black Gem
Form: 534
Alex Harvey F
NP
15%
IP
14%
Details
  • J: Alex Harvey
  • T: John C McConnell
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 27%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 106%
Analysis

Consistent performer; should handle conditions; in-form yard.

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares Hurdle — 14:47
Wexford • 5 runners • Good To Yielding
R5 Cl– 105%
#3 Mozzies Sister
Form: 342-226
Alex Harvey AF
NP
45%
IP
42%
Details
  • J: Alex Harvey
  • T: Declan Queally
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 43%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 105%
Analysis

Ran well in graded company last season; can get back on track returned to hurdles.

#1 Dream On Baby
Form: 255-P25
Donagh Meyler AF
NP
30%
IP
29%
Details
  • J: Donagh Meyler
  • T: Emmet Mullins
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 61%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 105%
Analysis

Consistent with solid form; should make a race of it with the favourite.

#2 Getaway Beo
Form: 15
Jordan Gainford F
NP
18%
IP
17%
Details
  • J: Jordan Gainford
  • T: Gordon Elliott
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 49%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 105%
Analysis

Unbeaten and from powerful yard; open to progress.

Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (Div I) — 15:22
Wexford • 13 runners • Good To Yielding
R6 Cl– 108%
#6 Oogum Boogum
Form: F62537
Shane Fitzgerald AF
NP
20%
IP
18%
Details
  • J: Shane Fitzgerald
  • T: David Kenneth Budds
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: —
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 108%
Analysis

Running well in defeat; may get head in front back in trip.

#1 Aclass
Form: 374-627
Darragh O’Keeffe AF
NP
25%
IP
23%
Details
  • J: Darragh O’Keeffe
  • T: J P Flavin
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: —
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 108%
Analysis

Forecast favourite with solid claims; should be competitive off current mark.

#5 Blossom De Mai
Form: 8/94F38
Tiernan Power Roche F
NP
16%
IP
15%
Details
  • J: Tiernan Power Roche
  • T: P J Rothwell
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 23%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 108%
Analysis

Consistent type who should handle conditions; fair each-way claims.

Jim Ryan Racecourse Services Handicap Hurdle (Div II) — 15:56
Wexford • 12 runners • Good To Yielding
R7 Cl– 107%
#2 Stone Forest
Form: 833144
John Shinnick AF
NP
22%
IP
20%
Details
  • J: John Shinnick
  • T: Eoin Doyle
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 50%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 107%
Analysis

August C&D winner; trip at Listowel may not have suited; good value profile.

#4 Hitthehayson
Form: 9P45116
Conor Stone-Walsh AF
NP
28%
IP
26%
Details
  • J: Conor Stone-Walsh
  • T: Ian Patrick Donoghue
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: 21%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 107%
Analysis

Forecast favourite with strong recent form; major player in this division.

#3 The Toothpicker
Form: 0/7/48
Tiernan Power Roche F
NP
15%
IP
14%
Details
  • J: Tiernan Power Roche
  • T: David Kenneth Budds
  • Trip: 2m4f
  • Trainer RTF%: —
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 107%
Analysis

Should handle conditions; fair each-way claims.

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Mares (Pro/Am) INH Flat Race — 16:30
Wexford • 8 runners • Good To Yielding
R8 Cl– 106%
#4 Lady Lena
Form: 3
Mr P W Mullins AF
NP
45%
IP
42%
Details
  • J: Mr P W Mullins
  • T: W P Mullins
  • Trip: 2m
  • Trainer RTF%: 56%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 106%
Analysis

Third at Listowel on debut; repeat effort likely enough in a weak contest.

#2 Ballymoreen
Form: 4-4
Mr A P Ryan F
NP
18%
IP
17%
Details
  • J: Mr A P Ryan
  • T: M O Quigley
  • Trip: 2m
  • Trainer RTF%: —
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 106%
Analysis

Experience edge with two runs; could challenge for minor honours.

#7 Question Piege
Form: 8-5
Anna McGuinness F
NP
12%
IP
11%
Details
  • J: Anna McGuinness
  • T: Mrs Lorna Fowler
  • Trip: 2m
  • Trainer RTF%: 50%
  • Odds: (forecast not provided)
  • Overround: 106%
Analysis

Finished fifth last time; can improve; place possibilities.

Nap of the Meeting — Wexford
Summary
NAP Cl– 106%
#4 Lady Lena (Form: 3)
Mr P W Mullins NAP AF
Analysis

Promising debut performance; top connections; weak contest; suitable ground. Back with confidence.

Value Guide: AF = Above Fair, F = Fair, BF = Below Fair.

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