Bet Smart & Win — Wolverhampton Race Preview
Monday 03 November 2025 • 8 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Rossa Ryan
- T: Ralph Beckett
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 62%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Solid two runs; strong figure last time; leading claims up in experience.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: Hugo Palmer
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 55%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Promising debut; scope to improve for yard going well; main danger.
Details
- J: Luke Morris
- T: Sir Mark Prescott
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Experience counts; capable of taking a step forward on AW.
Details
- J: Richard Kingscote
- T: Sir Michael Stoute
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 64%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Progressive profile; ideal draw; leading chance back to AW.
Details
- J: Cieren Fallon
- T: William Haggas
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 70%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
In form; up in grade but numbers still stack; big player.
Details
- J: Paul Mulrennan
- T: Julie Camacho
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 63%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Reliable; handicapped to be involved; place solid, win live.
Details
- J: Hector Crouch
- T: Clive Cox
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 57%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 113%
Analysis
Thriving at trip; figures translate to AW; shortlist material.
Details
- J: Tom Marquand
- T: Ed Walker
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 61%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 113%
Analysis
Got off the mark; should remain competitive; danger.
Details
- J: Daniel Tudhope
- T: David O’Meara
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 52%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 113%
Analysis
Consistent; deserves a change of luck; each-way solid.
Details
- J: Oisin Murphy
- T: Andrew Balding
- Trip: 1m½f
- Trainer RTF%: 66%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 114%
Analysis
Top rider booked; strong sectionals last start; big chance.
Details
- J: Rossa Ryan
- T: Roger Varian
- Trip: 1m½f
- Trainer RTF%: 69%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 114%
Analysis
Knocking on the door; handicapped to strike; key player.
Details
- J: Billy Loughnane
- T: George Boughey
- Trip: 1m½f
- Trainer RTF%: 60%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 114%
Analysis
Figures say competitive; each-way angle remains.
Details
- J: Paul Mulrennan
- T: Michael Dods
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Speed figures stack up; perfect draw to attack; strong chance.
Details
- J: Hector Crouch
- T: Ralph Beckett
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 62%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Good seasonal return; strong claims in similar setup.
Details
- J: Saffie Osborne
- T: Jamie Osborne
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 109%
Analysis
Often thereabouts; appeals for the frame again.
Details
- J: Cieren Fallon
- T: Marco Botti
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 53%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 116%
Analysis
Up in class but progressive; model keeps him onside.
Details
- J: Rossa Ryan
- T: Roger Varian
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 69%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 116%
Analysis
Likeable profile; fair weight; danger to all.
Details
- J: Jim Crowley
- T: Owen Burrows
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 51%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 116%
Analysis
Untapped on AW; interesting; place claims at least.
Details
- J: Richard Kingscote
- T: Sir Mark Prescott
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 58%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Front two runs backed by figures; ideal slot to convert.
Details
- J: Hector Crouch
- T: John & Thady Gosden
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 67%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Consistent; likely involved late; strong contender.
Details
- J: Saffie Osborne
- T: Jamie Osborne
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 48%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Holding form; workable mark; each-way squeak.
Details
- J: Kieran Shoemark
- T: Charlie Hills
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 54%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Good apprentice race type; figures consistent; shortlist.
Details
- J: Luke Morris
- T: Tony Carroll
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 47%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Reliable at grade; should be in the mix again.
Details
- J: Saffie Osborne
- T: Michael Appleby
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: (not provided)
- Overround: 112%
Analysis
Recent winner; penalty manageable; frame chance again.
Analysis
Profiles strongly at the trip; figures improving; well drawn. Confident pick.