Bet Smart & Win — Wolverhampton Race Preview
Mon 06/10/25 • 9 Race Card • 3 selections per race — In Order Of Highest Probability
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
Bet Smart & Win use a custom AI model to use the Bookmakers’ margin against them. Our AI model deducts their Margin (Overround) to leave us with Fair Market Value.
How We Pick Winners
We use the Overround (bookmaker margin) together with our AI-driven probabilities to spot when the odds favour the bettor — not the bookmaker. Every race is analysed to uncover true market value and highlight profitable edges.
Subscriber Quick Guide
- Bet Style: Many subscribers split stakes between Win bets and Fixed-Price Places (not Each Way). There are no ¼ or ⅕ odds deductions.
- Overround: Aim for 100–115% (Green Zone).
- Runners: Ideally 8–12 per race.
- Value: Target AF (Above Fair). “F” = Fair, “BF” = Below Fair.
- Class: Prefer Class 5 & 4 races, then Class 3 & 1.
- Top Jockeys: Names highlighted green mark one of the top 20 jockeys this season.
- NP (Normalized Probability): Should be 27% or higher and always greater than IP (Implied Probability).
Follow this strict criteria and you will outperform your previous ROI.
Details
- Trainer: Jack Jones
- RTF: 58%
- Race Distance: 1m1f104y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF profile with NP (25%) over IP (22%). Yard running 58% RTF; trip/class look ideal for a prominent showing.
Details
- Trainer: Bernard Llewellyn
- RTF: 42%
- Race Distance: 1m1f104y
- Class: 5
Analysis
Positive value vs forecast; RTF moderate but setup still gives a small edge within an efficient book.
Details
- Trainer: Thomas Faulkner
- RTF: 20%
- Race Distance: 1m1f104y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF on price despite lower RTF. Contender for the frame with a clean run.
Details
- Trainer: Marco Botti
- RTF: 46%
- Race Distance: 5f21y
- Class: 5
Analysis
Joint-top AF with a high-percentage rider booking; compact field amplifies the edge.
Details
- Trainer: Richard Hughes
- RTF: 72%
- Race Distance: 5f21y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF with the yard flying (72% RTF). Very tight split with Brakeman; small tactical edges decide.
Details
- Trainer: Dylan Cunha
- RTF: 63%
- Race Distance: 5f21y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF and solid RTF; likely contender for minor honours with a clean trip.
Details
- Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
- RTF: 50%
- Race Distance: 5f21y
- Class: 5
Analysis
Top AF in the race; sprint set-up suits and model differential is meaningful.
Details
- Trainer: Roger Varian
- RTF: 48%
- Race Distance: 5f21y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF with strong connections; fair win/place play with upside if pace collapses.
Details
- Trainer: David Evans
- RTF: 47%
- Race Distance: 5f21y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF and well-placed; solid trifecta component with scope to win.
Details
- Trainer: Ralph Beckett
- RTF: 55%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 5
Analysis
Clear AF leader in a low-overround race; progressive profile gives extra confidence.
Details
- Trainer: Alice Haynes
- RTF: 38%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF; place chance with win upside if finding a little extra late.
Details
- Trainer: Charles Hills
- RTF: 58%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 5
Analysis
AF with progressive angle; top jockey booking boosts reliability.
Details
- Trainer: Andrew J Martin
- RTF: N/A
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 6
Analysis
Top AF; unknown RTF adds variance but market still underprices the chance.
Details
- Trainer: Jessica Macey
- RTF: 50%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF with reliable yard figure; strong place angle with upside.
Details
- Trainer: Adrian Wintle
- RTF: 31%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF and well-ridden; capable of out-running odds if tempo suits.
Details
- Trainer: Adrian Wintle
- RTF: 31%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF standout; rider synergy and race shape favour a late strike.
Details
- Trainer: Tony Carroll
- RTF: 48%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF; consistent enough to make the frame—useful in exotics.
Details
- Trainer: James Owen
- RTF: 46%
- Race Distance: 7f36y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF; needs a clean passage but numbers fit the exotics.
Details
- Trainer: Charlie Johnston
- RTF: 47%
- Race Distance: 1m4f51y
- Class: 4
Analysis
AF; stays well and maps to a handy position—primary win play.
Details
- Trainer: Ralph Beckett
- RTF: 55%
- Race Distance: 1m4f51y
- Class: 4
Analysis
AF with strong stable tailwind; co-top on fair value with Neoma.
Details
- Trainer: James Owen
- RTF: 46%
- Race Distance: 1m4f51y
- Class: 4
Analysis
AF; more of a place play but capable of better if pace holds up.
Details
- Trainer: Robert Stephens
- RTF: 25%
- Race Distance: 2m120y
- Class: 6
Analysis
Standout AF; proven C&D and book/field size perfect—principal bet.
Details
- Trainer: Mark Usher
- RTF: 17%
- Race Distance: 2m120y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF; low RTF adds variance but stamina angle keeps him very competitive.
Details
- Trainer: Alan King
- RTF: 50%
- Race Distance: 2m120y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF; reliable stayer from a strong yard—solid frame chance with a small win angle.
Details
- Trainer: Ed Dunlop
- RTF: 59%
- Race Distance: 1m142y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF with yard in form; mile trip should suit—leading chance on value.
Details
- Trainer: Anthony McCann
- RTF: 100%
- Race Distance: 1m142y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF and peak RTF signal; rock-solid place chance with upside.
Details
- Trainer: William Haggas
- RTF: 51%
- Race Distance: 1m142y
- Class: 6
Analysis
AF; typically well-placed from this yard—live frame player.
Analysis
NP 31% vs IP 28% (AF), recent C&D winner, ideal race conditions with 11 runners and a 109% overround. Clearest “run-that-wins” profile on the card—back with confidence.