Bet Smart & Win — Wolverhampton Race Preview
Monday 27 October 2025 • 9 Races • Top 3 Selections Per Race
Methodology & Performance
How We Stay Ahead — The Bet Smart & Win Edge
The AI selects the three most probable outcomes in each race, ranked in order of confidence. The third selection is included specifically to support our Placepot bets.
At Bet Smart & Win, we leverage the Bookmakers’ Margin against them to uncover the True Market Value. Our approach focuses on Overround, Probability, and Value to identify fair betting opportunities. ROI: 92.3% Strike Rate: 27.2%
These ROI and Strike Rate figures are based on our Subscribers’ Gold & Silver Tiers.
How We Pick Winners
Our subscribers use a strict set of criteria based on Overround, Probability, and Value.
How To Read the Format
We use the bookmaker’s Overround (margin) against them. Our model removes this margin to reveal the Fair Market Value. We recommend avoiding bets when the Overround exceeds 115%.
The next key tool is Normalized Probability (NP) versus Implied Probability (IP). The golden rule — NP should always be higher than IP.
Value is our final measure. Each selection is labelled as AF (Above Fair), F (Fair), or BF (Below Fair) to show whether the odds truly represent value.
When all these conditions align, the selection card will display a green border.
Details
- J: Jack Dace
- T: Ed Dunlop
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 57%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Clear top on NP and consistent. Value edge over market.
Details
- J: Katrine Holm
- T: S Woods
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 59%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Second on probabilities; fair price.
Details
- J: Jack Callan
- T: Celine De La Haye
- Trip: 1m142y
- Trainer RTF%: 50%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Place potential; below-fair at quoted probabilities.
Details
- J: James Doyle
- T: Archie Watson
- Trip: 5f21y
- Trainer RTF%: 63%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Short-priced standout; top NP and AF value.
Details
- J: Sean Levey
- T: K R Burke
- Trip: 5f21y
- Trainer RTF%: 52%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Clear second on probabilities; place player.
Details
- J: Dylan Hogan
- T: Rebecca Menzies
- Trip: 5f21y
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 104%
Analysis
Third best on NP; needs a step forward.
Details
- J: Ray Dawson
- T: Roger Varian
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 52%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Form pick; model’s clear #1.
Details
- J: George Wood
- T: Richard Spencer
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 80%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Debutant respected on market signals; main danger.
Details
- J: Kieran O’Neill
- T: Alice Haynes
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 24%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Solid but needs more to trouble principals.
Details
- J: Callum Hutchinson
- T: John David Riches
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Top NP; Above-Fair; solid handicapping profile.
Details
- J: George Wood
- T: Jack Jones
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 31%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Second on NP; consistent enough to feature.
Details
- J: Lewis Edmunds
- T: John Mackie
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 111%
Analysis
Competitive; place claims on figures.
Details
- J: Barry McHugh
- T: Richard Fahey
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 41%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Form horse; model’s top pick; fair value.
Details
- J: Sean Levey
- T: James Evans
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 69%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Obvious second choice; consistent recent profile.
Details
- J: Luke Morris
- T: Tony Carroll
- Trip: 7f36y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Edges out others on NP; whitelisted jockey.
Details
- J: Jack Dace
- T: Michael Appleby
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 42%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Primary selection; recent winning form.
Details
- J: Dougie Costello
- T: Tony Carroll
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 46%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Consistent; main danger to the top pick.
Details
- J: Luke Morris
- T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
- Trip: 6f20y
- Trainer RTF%: 21%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 106%
Analysis
Should be thereabouts; whitelisted jockey a plus.
Details
- J: Jack Callan
- T: David Evans
- Trip: 1m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 36%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Narrow top pick in a tight race.
Details
- J: Luke Morris
- T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
- Trip: 1m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 21%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Solid claims; consistent profile.
Details
- J: Hollie Doyle
- T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole
- Trip: 1m4f51y
- Trainer RTF%: 29%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 107%
Analysis
Right in the mix; whitelisted rider.
Details
- J: Luke Morris
- T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 21%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Strong fav; AF value; ticks the ideal criteria.
Details
- J: Dougie Costello
- T: Thomas Faulkner
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 44%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Logical second pick; solid recent form.
Details
- J: Taryn Langley
- T: David Loughnane
- Trip: 1m1f104y
- Trainer RTF%: 27%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Capable; profiles as next best on NP.
Details
- J: Dylan Hogan
- T: Julia & Shelley Birkett
- Trip: 5f21y
- Trainer RTF%: 33%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Top on NP; reliable finisher; strong each-way case.
Details
- J: Luke Morris
- T: Joe Ponting
- Trip: 5f21y
- Trainer RTF%: 62%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Consistent placer; whitelisted rider boosts confidence.
Details
- J: Jack Callan
- T: Matt Crawley
- Trip: 5f21y
- Trainer RTF%: 43%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)
- Overround: 108%
Analysis
Recent winner; competitive again.
Analysis
Strong favourite with AF value; ideal trip; recent C&D effort suggests the “run-that-wins”. Back with confidence.
Details
- Race: Create Your Bet Builders At Midnite Handicap — 8:00
- Trip: 1m1f104y • Class 5 • 10 runners
- Trainer RTF%: 21%
- Odds: (BF odds not provided)