Before You Dive In – Read This First
Every race we cover goes deeper than just form. While the horse’s form is important, it’s essential that you also read the Analysis and Scenario sections of each post. This is where the real insights happen — where the AI pulls back the curtain and reveals when there’s more than meets the eye.
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Race Name: AKS Skip Hire Services Handicap
Race Distance: 1m2f23y
Racecourse: Yarmouth
Time of Race: 2:05
First: Fillyfudge
Age: 6
Weight: 9-9
Form: 4343-5 (Consistent performances)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: George Wood
Trainer: Lemos De Souza
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 62
TS: 65
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Exquisement
Age: 4
Weight: 9-9
Form: 65330- (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer: Michael Keady
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 62
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Fillyfudge has consistent form and a strong jockey-trainer combination. Exquisement is unproven but has potential. The going should suit both.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Rock Armour could outperform expectations.
Race Name: Mark Sumner Golf Supplies Handicap
Race Distance: 1m2f23y
Racecourse: Yarmouth
Time of Race: 2:40
First: Telecommunication
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 9683-4 (Improving)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer: Michael Bell
Trainer RTF% Form: 70%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 63
TS: 45
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Gigi Bliss
Age: 3
Weight: 9-8
Form: 45-7 (Needs to bounce back)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Trainer RTF% Form: 44%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 64
TS: 31
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Telecommunication has the best form and a strong trainer. Gigi Bliss has potential but needs to improve.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is slow, Antelope could surprise.
Race Name: Play At The Races Stable Duel Fillies’ Novice Stakes
Race Distance: 7f3y
Racecourse: Yarmouth
Time of Race: 3:15
First: Verse Of Love
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 1-7 (Classy)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: William Buick
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Trainer RTF% Form: 65%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 91
TS: 86
Probability: First Horse Very High
Second: Chiringita
Age: 3
Weight: 9-2
Form: 432- (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Jamie Spencer
Trainer: David Simcock
Trainer RTF% Form: 50%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 59
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Verse Of Love is the class act here. Chiringita is consistent but lacks the same quality.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, The Third Star could place.
Race Name: Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Stakes
Race Distance: 1m3y
Racecourse: Yarmouth
Time of Race: 3:50
First: Spy Kingdom
Age: 3
Weight: 9-3
Form: 2 (Promising)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer: Archie Watson
Trainer RTF% Form: 69%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 71
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Roman Centurion
Age: 3
Weight: 9-3
Form: 82- (Needs to improve)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Callum Shepherd
Trainer: John Ryan
Trainer RTF% Form: 33%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: –
TS: 78
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Spy Kingdom has the best form and a top jockey. Roman Centurion has potential but is unproven.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is strong, Kaizen could surprise.
Race Name: Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Handicap
Race Distance: 1m3y
Racecourse: Yarmouth
Time of Race: 4:25
First: Mr Swivell
Age: 4
Weight: 9-7
Form: 1330-2 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Ray Dawson
Trainer: Kevin Philippart De Foy
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 77
TS: 81
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Kingdom Of Time
Age: 4
Weight: 9-8
Form: -52242 (Solid)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Hollie Doyle
Trainer: Archie Watson
Trainer RTF% Form: 69%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 78
TS: –
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Mr Swivell is in great form and has a strong jockey. Kingdom Of Time is consistent but less proven.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Bass Player could outperform.
Race Name: Infobond Technical Manpower Services Fillies’ Handicap
Race Distance: 7f3y
Racecourse: Yarmouth
Time of Race: 5:00
First: Stellenbosch
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
Form: 33-2 (Improving)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Sean Levey
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Trainer RTF% Form: 44%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 80
TS: 54
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Jowddah
Age: 3
Weight: 9-7
Form: 222-1 (Consistent)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Silvestre De Sousa
Trainer: Roger Varian
Trainer RTF% Form: 63%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 83
TS: 71
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Stellenbosch is improving rapidly. Jowddah is consistent but may lack the upside.
Scenario Analysis: If the pace is slow, Beauty Nation could place.
Race Name: Seadell Shops And Chalets At Hemsby ‘Confined’ Handicap
Race Distance: 1m3y
Racecourse: Yarmouth
Time of Race: 5:35
First: Triple Double A
Age: 3
Weight: 9-9
Form: 907-1 (Improving)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Oisin Murphy
Trainer: Hugo Palmer
Trainer RTF% Form: 67%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 65
TS: 60
Probability: First Horse High
Second: Glitter Code
Age: 3
Weight: 9-4
Form: 5653-8 (Needs to bounce back)
Going: Good to Firm
Jockey: Marco Ghiani
Trainer: William Knight
Trainer RTF% Form: 63%
RTF’s: Ran To Form
OR: 60
TS: 67
Probability: Second Horse Moderate
Analysis: Triple Double A is the class act here. Glitter Code has potential but needs to improve.
Scenario Analysis: If the ground softens, Azoozi could surprise.
Best Value for Money Horse at Yarmouth (01st May 2025)
Out of my analysis for Yarmouth, Spy Kingdom shows the best value for money based on:
Age: 3
Weight: 9-3
Form: 2 (Seasonal reappearance shows potential)
OR: –
TS: 71
RTF’s: Ran To Form
Form and Improvement: Spy Kingdom has shown strong recent form and is expected to improve over longer distances, making him a contender even in a competitive field.
Race Conditions: The conditions on the day are expected to suit him, which adds to the value proposition despite the slightly lower winning probability compared to some favorites.
In summary, Spy Kingdom presents the best value for money, offering a solid balance between reasonable winning potential and high payout odds.
Lucky 15 Betting Strategy – Yarmouth – 01st May 2025
Race Predictions (Top 2 per Race)
14:05 Yarmouth – AKS Skip Hire Services Handicap
- Fillyfudge (78%)
- Rock Armour (72%)
14:40 Yarmouth – Mark Sumner Golf Supplies Handicap
- Glenridding (75%)
- Hibernate (70%)
15:15 Yarmouth – Play At The Races Stable Duel Fillies’ Novice Stakes
- Verse Of Love (85%)
- Chiringita (70%)
15:50 Yarmouth – Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Maiden Stakes
- Spy Kingdom (90%)
- Kaizen (75%)
16:25 Yarmouth – Winning Experience With Moulton Racing Handicap
- Mr Swivell (80%)
- Kingdom Of Time (75%)
17:00 Yarmouth – Moulton Nurseries Handicap
- Twafeeg (78%)
- Noble Order (70%)
17:35 Yarmouth – Seadell Shops and Chalets at Hemsby “Confined” Handicap
- Triple Double A (82%)
- Azoozi (70%)
Lucky 15 Selections (Prioritizing ≥80%)
- Spy Kingdom (15:50, Yarmouth, 90%)
- Verse Of Love (15:15, Yarmouth, 85%)
- Triple Double A (17:35, Yarmouth, 82%)
- Mr Swivell (16:25, Yarmouth, 80%)
Lucky 15 Bets Breakdown
Singles
- Spy Kingdom (15:50, Yarmouth)
- Verse Of Love (15:15, Yarmouth)
- Triple Double A (17:35, Yarmouth)
- Mr Swivell (16:25, Yarmouth)
Doubles
- Spy Kingdom + Verse Of Love
- Spy Kingdom + Triple Double A
- Spy Kingdom + Mr Swivell
- Verse Of Love + Triple Double A
- Verse Of Love + Mr Swivell
- Triple Double A + Mr Swivell
Trebles
- Spy Kingdom + Verse Of Love + Triple Double A
- Spy Kingdom + Verse Of Love + Mr Swivell
- Spy Kingdom + Triple Double A + Mr Swivell
- Verse Of Love + Triple Double A + Mr Swivell
Four-Fold Accumulator
- Spy Kingdom + Verse Of Love + Triple Double A + Mr Swivell
Key Insights
- Best Value Pick: Triple Double A (82%) –
- Highest Probability: Spy Kingdom (90%) –
- Alternative if Needed: Fillyfudge (78%) –
